Table 1. Observed and predicted 5-, 8-, and 10-year all-cause mortality by demographical, tumour ,and treatment characteristics.
5 Years |
8 Years |
10 Years |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Characteristic | N | O | P | D | % | N | O | P | D | % | N | O | P | D | % |
Total | 2827 | 607 | 455 | −152 | −25 | 1843 | 454 | 430 | −24 | −5.3 | 597 | 152 | 164 | 12 | 7.9 |
Age at diagnosis (years) | |||||||||||||||
18–25 | 40 | 7 | 5 | −2 | −28.6 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
26–30 | 258 | 62 | 46 | −16 | −25.8 | 167 | 48 | 43 | −5 | −10.4 | 55 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 6.7 |
31–35 | 864 | 210 | 152 | −58 | −27.6 | 580 | 168 | 146 | −22 | −13.1 | 203 | 60 | 57 | −3 | −5 |
36–40 | 1665 | 328 | 252 | −76 | −23.2 | 1075 | 234 | 237 | 3 | 1.3 | 331 | 76 | 90 | 14 | 18.4 |
Menopausal status | |||||||||||||||
Premenopause | 2771 | 591 | 444 | −147 | −24.9 | 1801 | 440 | 420 | −20 | −4.5 | 581 | 148 | 162 | 14 | 9.5 |
Post-menopause | 7 | 2 | 1 | −1 | −50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | −1 | −50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | −1 | −100 |
Perimenopause | 5 | 2 | 1 | −1 | −50 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Unknown | 44 | 12 | 9 | −3 | −25 | 33 | 10 | 8 | −2 | −20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Morphology | |||||||||||||||
Ductal | 2447 | 531 | 410 | −121 | −22.8 | 1606 | 396 | 388 | −8 | −2 | 520 | 132 | 149 | 17 | 12.9 |
Lobular | 129 | 27 | 10 | −17 | −63 | 79 | 21 | 12 | −9 | −42.9 | 30 | 8 | 4 | −4 | −50 |
Other | 216 | 42 | 31 | −11 | −26.2 | 133 | 32 | 27 | −5 | −15.6 | 40 | 12 | 10 | −2 | −16.7 |
Unknown | 35 | 7 | 4 | −3 | −42.9 | 25 | 5 | 4 | −1 | −20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | . |
Grade | |||||||||||||||
1 | 156 | 5 | 4 | −1 | −20 | 98 | 5 | 4 | −1 | −20 | 31 | 3 | 2 | −1 | −33 |
2 | 929 | 161 | 67 | −94 | −58.4 | 614 | 121 | 75 | −46 | −38 | 200 | 44 | 31 | −13 | −30 |
3 | 1676 | 429 | 378 | −51 | −11.9 | 1097 | 322 | 346 | 24 | 7.5 | 351 | 103 | 129 | 26 | 25.2 |
Not graded/missing | 66 | 12 | 7 | −5 | −41.7 | 34 | 6 | 5 | −1 | −16.7 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
LV invasion | |||||||||||||||
Negative | 1374 | 182 | 156 | −26 | −14.3 | 873 | 142 | 144 | 2 | 1.4 | 290 | 47 | 59 | 12 | 25.5 |
Positive | 1253 | 385 | 272 | −113 | −29.4 | 845 | 287 | 264 | −23 | −8 | 270 | 96 | 99 | 3 | 3.1 |
Unknown | 200 | 40 | 27 | −13 | −32.5 | 125 | 25 | 22 | −3 | −12 | 37 | 9 | 7 | −2 | −22 |
Node status | |||||||||||||||
Negative | 1370 | 161 | 128 | −33 | −20.5 | 869 | 111 | 115 | 4 | 3.6 | 266 | 39 | 42 | 3 | 7.7 |
Positive | 1431 | 439 | 324 | −115 | −26.2 | 959 | 339 | 312 | −27 | −8 | 327 | 112 | 121 | 9 | 8 |
Unknown | 26 | 7 | 4 | −3 | −42.9 | 15 | 4 | 3 | −1 | −25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Tumour size | |||||||||||||||
0–10 | 265 | 42 | 20 | −22 | −52.4 | 161 | 29 | 17 | −12 | −41.4 | 48 | 14 | 7 | −7 | −50 |
11–20 | 930 | 125 | 100 | −25 | −20 | 629 | 99 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 41 | 45 | 4 | 9.8 |
21–50 | 1229 | 302 | 233 | −69 | −22.8 | 798 | 228 | 219 | −9 | −3.9 | 244 | 78 | 79 | 1 | 1.3 |
50+ | 244 | 99 | 85 | −14 | −14.1 | 171 | 75 | 83 | 8 | 10.7 | 54 | 13 | 28 | 15 | 115.4 |
Unknown | 159 | 39 | 16 | −23 | −59 | 84 | 23 | 12 | −11 | −47.8 | 30 | 6 | 5 | −1 | −16.7 |
ER status | |||||||||||||||
Negative | 965 | 245 | 297 | 52 | 21.2 | 642 | 183 | 242 | 59 | 32.2 | 231 | 64 | 94 | 30 | 46.9 |
Positive | 1862 | 362 | 158 | −204 | −56.4 | 1201 | 271 | 188 | −83 | −30.6 | 366 | 88 | 70 | −18 | −20.5 |
Local Rx | |||||||||||||||
BCS+RT | 1310 | 188 | 168 | −20 | −10.6 | 872 | 146 | 159 | 13 | 8.9 | 275 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Mast+RT | 1001 | 313 | 228 | −85 | −27.2 | 648 | 231 | 213 | −18 | −7.8 | 208 | 70 | 85 | 15 | 21.4 |
Mast alone | 445 | 87 | 48 | −39 | −44.8 | 277 | 65 | 47 | −18 | −27.7 | 101 | 22 | 18 | −4 | −18.2 |
Other | 71 | 19 | 12 | −7 | −36.8 | 46 | 12 | 10 | −2 | −16.7 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 200 |
Systemic Rx | |||||||||||||||
None | 46 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 66.7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hormone | 227 | 16 | 6 | −10 | −62.5 | 157 | 15 | 8 | −7 | −46.7 | 50 | 6 | 3 | −3 | −50 |
Chemo | 986 | 261 | 297 | 36 | 13.8 | 659 | 198 | 248 | 50 | 25.3 | 237 | 71 | 94 | 23 | 32.4 |
Both | 1568 | 326 | 147 | −179 | −54.9 | 999 | 238 | 170 | −68 | −28.6 | 304 | 74 | 66 | −8 | −10.8 |
HER2 status | |||||||||||||||
Negative | 1773 | 383 | 255 | −128 | −33.4 | 1059 | 273 | 234 | −39 | −14.3 | 327 | 82 | 83 | 1 | 1.2 |
Positive | 679 | 183 | 159 | −24 | −13.1 | 434 | 141 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 50 | 53 | 3 | 6 |
Borderline | 40 | 10 | 6 | −4 | −40 | 33 | 10 | 7 | −3 | −30 | 14 | 5 | 4 | −1 | −20 |
Unknown | 335 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 12.9 | 317 | 30 | 49 | 19 | 63.3 | 116 | 15 | 24 | 9 | 60 |
Ethnicity | |||||||||||||||
Caucasian/White | 2582 | 547 | 413 | −134 | −24.5 | 1692 | 411 | 392 | −19 | −4.6 | 557 | 144 | 156 | 12 | 8.3 |
Black | 110 | 36 | 21 | −15 | −41.7 | 74 | 27 | 20 | −7 | −25.9 | 17 | 5 | 4 | −1 | −20 |
Asian | 84 | 15 | 14 | −1 | −6.7 | 55 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 18.2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Other | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | . |
Unknown | 32 | 6 | 5 | −1 | −16.7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | . |
Abbreviations: BCS=breast-conserving surgery; D=difference; ER=oestrogen receptor status; HER2=human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; LV=lymphovascular invasion; N=number of patients; O=number of observed events; P=number of predicted events; RT=radiotherapy; Rx=Treatment.