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. 2015 Feb 12;112(6):983–991. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2015.57

Table 1. Observed and predicted 5-, 8-, and 10-year all-cause mortality by demographical, tumour ,and treatment characteristics.

  5 Years
8 Years
10 Years
Characteristic N O P D % N O P D % N O P D %
Total 2827 607 455 −152 −25 1843 454 430 −24 −5.3 597 152 164 12 7.9
Age at diagnosis (years)
18–25 40 7 5 −2 −28.6 21 4 4 0 0 8 1 1 0 0
26–30 258 62 46 −16 −25.8 167 48 43 −5 −10.4 55 15 16 1 6.7
31–35 864 210 152 −58 −27.6 580 168 146 −22 −13.1 203 60 57 −3 −5
36–40 1665 328 252 −76 −23.2 1075 234 237 3 1.3 331 76 90 14 18.4
Menopausal status
Premenopause 2771 591 444 −147 −24.9 1801 440 420 −20 −4.5 581 148 162 14 9.5
Post-menopause 7 2 1 −1 −50 4 2 1 −1 −50 1 1 0 −1 −100
Perimenopause 5 2 1 −1 −50 5 2 2 0 0 3 1 1 0 0
Unknown 44 12 9 −3 −25 33 10 8 −2 −20 12 2 2 0 0
Morphology
Ductal 2447 531 410 −121 −22.8 1606 396 388 −8 −2 520 132 149 17 12.9
Lobular 129 27 10 −17 −63 79 21 12 −9 −42.9 30 8 4 −4 −50
Other 216 42 31 −11 −26.2 133 32 27 −5 −15.6 40 12 10 −2 −16.7
Unknown 35 7 4 −3 −42.9 25 5 4 −1 −20 7 0 1 1 .
Grade
1 156 5 4 −1 −20 98 5 4 −1 −20 31 3 2 −1 −33
2 929 161 67 −94 −58.4 614 121 75 −46 −38 200 44 31 −13 −30
3 1676 429 378 −51 −11.9 1097 322 346 24 7.5 351 103 129 26 25.2
Not graded/missing 66 12 7 −5 −41.7 34 6 5 −1 −16.7 15 2 2 0 0
LV invasion
Negative 1374 182 156 −26 −14.3 873 142 144 2 1.4 290 47 59 12 25.5
Positive 1253 385 272 −113 −29.4 845 287 264 −23 −8 270 96 99 3 3.1
Unknown 200 40 27 −13 −32.5 125 25 22 −3 −12 37 9 7 −2 −22
Node status
Negative 1370 161 128 −33 −20.5 869 111 115 4 3.6 266 39 42 3 7.7
Positive 1431 439 324 −115 −26.2 959 339 312 −27 −8 327 112 121 9 8
Unknown 26 7 4 −3 −42.9 15 4 3 −1 −25 4 1 1 0 0
Tumour size
0–10 265 42 20 −22 −52.4 161 29 17 −12 −41.4 48 14 7 −7 −50
11–20 930 125 100 −25 −20 629 99 99 0 0 221 41 45 4 9.8
21–50 1229 302 233 −69 −22.8 798 228 219 −9 −3.9 244 78 79 1 1.3
50+ 244 99 85 −14 −14.1 171 75 83 8 10.7 54 13 28 15 115.4
Unknown 159 39 16 −23 −59 84 23 12 −11 −47.8 30 6 5 −1 −16.7
ER status
Negative 965 245 297 52 21.2 642 183 242 59 32.2 231 64 94 30 46.9
Positive 1862 362 158 −204 −56.4 1201 271 188 −83 −30.6 366 88 70 −18 −20.5
Local Rx
BCS+RT 1310 188 168 −20 −10.6 872 146 159 13 8.9 275 59 59 0 0
Mast+RT 1001 313 228 −85 −27.2 648 231 213 −18 −7.8 208 70 85 15 21.4
Mast alone 445 87 48 −39 −44.8 277 65 47 −18 −27.7 101 22 18 −4 −18.2
Other 71 19 12 −7 −36.8 46 12 10 −2 −16.7 13 1 3 2 200
Systemic Rx
None 46 4 5 1 25 28 3 5 2 66.7 6 1 1 0 0
Hormone 227 16 6 −10 −62.5 157 15 8 −7 −46.7 50 6 3 −3 −50
Chemo 986 261 297 36 13.8 659 198 248 50 25.3 237 71 94 23 32.4
Both 1568 326 147 −179 −54.9 999 238 170 −68 −28.6 304 74 66 −8 −10.8
HER2 status
Negative 1773 383 255 −128 −33.4 1059 273 234 −39 −14.3 327 82 83 1 1.2
Positive 679 183 159 −24 −13.1 434 141 141 0 0 140 50 53 3 6
Borderline 40 10 6 −4 −40 33 10 7 −3 −30 14 5 4 −1 −20
Unknown 335 31 35 4 12.9 317 30 49 19 63.3 116 15 24 9 60
Ethnicity
Caucasian/White 2582 547 413 −134 −24.5 1692 411 392 −19 −4.6 557 144 156 12 8.3
Black 110 36 21 −15 −41.7 74 27 20 −7 −25.9 17 5 4 −1 −20
Asian 84 15 14 −1 −6.7 55 11 13 2 18.2 16 3 3 0 0
Other 19 3 3 0 0 12 3 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 .
Unknown 32 6 5 −1 −16.7 10 2 2 0 0 4 0 1 1 .

Abbreviations: BCS=breast-conserving surgery; D=difference; ER=oestrogen receptor status; HER2=human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; LV=lymphovascular invasion; N=number of patients; O=number of observed events; P=number of predicted events; RT=radiotherapy; Rx=Treatment.