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. 2015 Mar;13(2):107–114. doi: 10.1370/afm.1760

Table 4.

Impact of Retirement Age and Population per Primary Care Physician Changes on Shortage Projections for 2035

Variable Additional Residents Needed No. (% Change) Projected Physician Shortage by 2035 No. (% Change)
Baseline 1,700 33,283
Retirement age
 64 y 2,427 (43) 38,622 (16)
 68 y 1,057 (−38) 26,835 (−19)
Population per physician
 10% decrease 3,064 (80) 60,561 (82)
 10% increase 336 (−80) 6,004 (−82)