Table 31.
True value | θ̂(ESD) | θ̂(ESD) | θ̂(ESD) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||
30 Days | 90 Days | 180 Days | ||
| ||||
State-dep. Prob. | ||||
| ||||
pA1 | 0.90 | 0.906 (0.0019) | 0.914 (0.0019) | 0.925 (0.0025) |
pA2 | 0.10 | 0.094 (0.0019) | 0.086 (0.0019) | 0.075 (0.0025) |
| ||||
pB1 | 0.10 | 0.104 (0.0023) | 0.112 (0.0032) | 0.126 (0.0047) |
pB2 | 0.80 | 0.830 (0.0026) | 0.849 (0.0036) | 0.847 (0.0048) |
pB3 | 0.10 | 0.066 (0.0018) | 0.039 (0.0022) | 0.027 (0.0023) |
| ||||
pC2 | 0.10 | 0.139 (0.0024) | 0.191 (0.0048) | 0.203 (0.0069) |
pC3 | 0.80 | 0.800 (0.0028) | 0.766 (0.0046) | 0.755 (0.0073) |
pC4 | 0.10 | 0.061 (0.0018) | 0.043 (0.0024) | 0.042 (0.0040) |
| ||||
pD3 | 0.10 | 0.149 (0.0029) | 0.172 (0.0054) | 0.160 (0.0115) |
pD4 | 0.90 | 0.851 (0.0029) | 0.828 (0.0054) | 0.840 (0.0115) |