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. 2015 Mar 31;10(3):e0118873. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118873

Table 2. Projected disease prevalence and mortality reduction over 20 years for the population aged 18 to 95 years in nine European countries.

Stroke Ischemic heart disease Mortality
Country Current Reduction % Current Reduction % Current Reduction %
Finland 127,300 329,500 1,096,800
30% salt intake reduction 8,200 (7,600–8,700) 6.4 13,700 (12,700–14,600) 4.1 8,500 (8,000–9,000) 0.8
5 grams per day 12,900 (12,100–13,600) 10.1 21,800 (20,400–23,300) 6.6 13,500 (12,800–14,200) 1.2
France 942,700 1,084,500 11,831,400
30% salt intake reduction 101,700 (97,500–105,800) 10.8 84,400 (80,300–88,500) 7.8 66,500 (63,700–69,300) 0.6
5 grams per day 153,500 (147,300–159,700) 16.3 129,900 (123,600–136,100) 12.0 102,100 (97,800–106,300) 0.9
Ireland 72,900 176,000 641,800
30% salt intake reduction 7,200 (6,900–7,500) 9.9 12,000 (11,400–12,600) 6.8 6,200 (5,900–8,600) 1.0
5 grams per day 10,200 (9,800–10,600) 14.0 17,500 (16,600–18,400) 10.0 9,000 (8,600–9,300) 1.4
Italy 1,395,200 1,956,500 12,776,800
30% salt intake reduction 141,400 (135,500–147,300) 10.1 142,900 (135,500–150,00) 7.3 103,000 (98,600–107,500) 0.8
5 grams per day 222,900 (213,600–232,100) 16.0 228,300 (216,300–240,200) 11.7 163,300 (156,200–170,300) 1.3
Netherlands 303,200 700,000 3,117,100
30% salt intake reduction 33,100 (31,600–34,700) 10.9 48,600 (45,700–51,500) 6.9 29,900 (28,400–31,400) 1.0
5 grams per day 50,000 (47,600–52,300) 16.5 75,600 (71,100–80,100) 10.8 46,100 (43,800–48,400) 1.5
Poland 788,900 1,408,600 8,345,900
30% salt intake reduction 106,100 (102,300–109,900) 13.5 125,100 (119,500–130,800) 8.9 109,500 (105,200–113,700) 1.3
5 grams per day 181,900 (175,500–188,300) 23.1 218,900 (209,000–228,900) 15.5 191,300 (183,900–198,700) 2.3
Spain 782,700 1,023,700 8,585,500
30% salt intake reduction 87,800 (84,000–91,600) 11.2 79,600 (75,200–83,900) 7.8 59,100 (56,400–61,700) 0.7
5 grams per day 143,200 (137,100–149,300) 18.3 131,500 (124,400–138,600) 12.8 97,400 (93,100–101,700) 1.1
Sweden 183,900 414,900 1,897,500
30% salt intake reduction 17,800 (16,800–18,800) 9.7 26,500 (24,700–28,400) 6.4 14,400 (13,600–15,300) 0.8
5 grams per day 28,100 (26,600–29,700) 15.3 42,700 (39,700–45,700) 10.3 23,100 (21,700–24,400) 1.2
UK 1,336,400 2,612,300 12,416,400
30% salt intake reduction 133,900 (127,500–140,200) 10.0 175,600 (165,600–185,500) 6.7 98,500 (93,600–103,400) 0.8
5 grams per day 202,400 (192,900–211,900) 15.1 268,100 (253,000–283,300) 10.3 149,400 (142,000–156,700) 1.2

Numbers reported are the mean (95% CI) for 100 simulations