Table 2. Projected disease prevalence and mortality reduction over 20 years for the population aged 18 to 95 years in nine European countries.
Stroke | Ischemic heart disease | Mortality | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Country | Current | Reduction | % | Current | Reduction | % | Current | Reduction | % | |
Finland | 127,300 | 329,500 | 1,096,800 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 8,200 (7,600–8,700) | 6.4 | 13,700 (12,700–14,600) | 4.1 | 8,500 (8,000–9,000) | 0.8 | ||||
5 grams per day | 12,900 (12,100–13,600) | 10.1 | 21,800 (20,400–23,300) | 6.6 | 13,500 (12,800–14,200) | 1.2 | ||||
France | 942,700 | 1,084,500 | 11,831,400 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 101,700 (97,500–105,800) | 10.8 | 84,400 (80,300–88,500) | 7.8 | 66,500 (63,700–69,300) | 0.6 | ||||
5 grams per day | 153,500 (147,300–159,700) | 16.3 | 129,900 (123,600–136,100) | 12.0 | 102,100 (97,800–106,300) | 0.9 | ||||
Ireland | 72,900 | 176,000 | 641,800 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 7,200 (6,900–7,500) | 9.9 | 12,000 (11,400–12,600) | 6.8 | 6,200 (5,900–8,600) | 1.0 | ||||
5 grams per day | 10,200 (9,800–10,600) | 14.0 | 17,500 (16,600–18,400) | 10.0 | 9,000 (8,600–9,300) | 1.4 | ||||
Italy | 1,395,200 | 1,956,500 | 12,776,800 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 141,400 (135,500–147,300) | 10.1 | 142,900 (135,500–150,00) | 7.3 | 103,000 (98,600–107,500) | 0.8 | ||||
5 grams per day | 222,900 (213,600–232,100) | 16.0 | 228,300 (216,300–240,200) | 11.7 | 163,300 (156,200–170,300) | 1.3 | ||||
Netherlands | 303,200 | 700,000 | 3,117,100 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 33,100 (31,600–34,700) | 10.9 | 48,600 (45,700–51,500) | 6.9 | 29,900 (28,400–31,400) | 1.0 | ||||
5 grams per day | 50,000 (47,600–52,300) | 16.5 | 75,600 (71,100–80,100) | 10.8 | 46,100 (43,800–48,400) | 1.5 | ||||
Poland | 788,900 | 1,408,600 | 8,345,900 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 106,100 (102,300–109,900) | 13.5 | 125,100 (119,500–130,800) | 8.9 | 109,500 (105,200–113,700) | 1.3 | ||||
5 grams per day | 181,900 (175,500–188,300) | 23.1 | 218,900 (209,000–228,900) | 15.5 | 191,300 (183,900–198,700) | 2.3 | ||||
Spain | 782,700 | 1,023,700 | 8,585,500 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 87,800 (84,000–91,600) | 11.2 | 79,600 (75,200–83,900) | 7.8 | 59,100 (56,400–61,700) | 0.7 | ||||
5 grams per day | 143,200 (137,100–149,300) | 18.3 | 131,500 (124,400–138,600) | 12.8 | 97,400 (93,100–101,700) | 1.1 | ||||
Sweden | 183,900 | 414,900 | 1,897,500 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 17,800 (16,800–18,800) | 9.7 | 26,500 (24,700–28,400) | 6.4 | 14,400 (13,600–15,300) | 0.8 | ||||
5 grams per day | 28,100 (26,600–29,700) | 15.3 | 42,700 (39,700–45,700) | 10.3 | 23,100 (21,700–24,400) | 1.2 | ||||
UK | 1,336,400 | 2,612,300 | 12,416,400 | |||||||
30% salt intake reduction | 133,900 (127,500–140,200) | 10.0 | 175,600 (165,600–185,500) | 6.7 | 98,500 (93,600–103,400) | 0.8 | ||||
5 grams per day | 202,400 (192,900–211,900) | 15.1 | 268,100 (253,000–283,300) | 10.3 | 149,400 (142,000–156,700) | 1.2 |
Numbers reported are the mean (95% CI) for 100 simulations