Table 2. Comparison of 5 and 10 year outcomes for population level probabilities vs. individual level probabilities using usual care treatment.

	Population Level Probabilities	Individual Level Probabilities	P values
Mayo Clinic Cohort
5 year BCR free survival probability	0.572 (0.562, 0.581)	0.632 (0.623, 0.642)	< 0.001
10 year BCR free survival probability	0.321 (0.312, 0.330)	0.425 (0.416, 0.435)	< 0.001
5 year MET or Death probability	0.118 (0.111, 0.124)	0.135 (0.128, 0.142)	< 0.001
10 year MET or Death probability	0.302 (0.293, 0.311)	0.324 (0.315, 0.333)	< 0.001
TJU Cohort
5 year BCR free survival probability	0.584 (0.574, 0.593)	0.624 (0.615, 0.633)	< 0.001
10 year BCR free survival probability	0.338 (0.329, 0.348)	0.415 (0.406, 0.425)	< 0.001
5 year MET or Death probability	0.098 (0.092, 0.103)	0.110 (0.104, 0.117)	< 0.001
10 year MET or Death probability	0.259 (0.250, 0.267)	0.276 (0.267, 0.285)	< 0.001

Results are presented for the Mayo Clinic and TJU cohorts.