Table 1.
Mean, median, and variance of PCA3, and sensitivity and specificity of various PCA3 and PSA cutoffs in the EDRN data and the simulated populations (validation and projected). The simulated values for PCA3 are derived from the exponential distributions matching the observed PCA3 medians.
EDRN Data | Simulated Populations | ||
---|---|---|---|
PCA3 Mean | Noncancer | 29.3 | 25.6 |
Cancer | 68.7 | 71.8 | |
| |||
PCA3 Median | Noncancer | 17.8 | 17.8 |
Cancer | 49.8 | 49.8 | |
| |||
PCA3 Standard | Noncancer | 1869.8 | 655.8 |
Deviation | Cancer | 4487.0 | 5161.9 |
| |||
Sensitivity | PCA3>20 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
PCA3>35 | 0.62 | 0.61 | |
PCA3>60 | 0.42 | 0.43 | |
PSA(4)+PCA3(0)* | 0.79 | 0.81 | |
PSA(4)+PCA3(20)* | 0.63 | 0.60 | |
PSA(4,10)+PCA3(20,0)* | 0.66 | 0.65 | |
| |||
Specificity | PCA3>20 | 0.56 | 0.54 |
PCA3>35 | 0.77 | 0.75 | |
PCA3>60 | 0.89 | 0.90 | |
PSA(4)+PCA3(0)* | 0.28 | 0.29 | |
PSA(4)+PCA3(20)* | 0.68 | 0.67 | |
PSA(4,10)+PCA3(20,0)* | 0.64 | 0.59 |
Numbers in “Simulated Population” column refer to validation population only. See methods section for key to nomenclature.