Table 4. Brier scores and decomposition for IVFpredict and Templeton models, from 130,960 IVF cycles.

	Scaled modified (Sanders) Brier score	Scaled reliability (in-the-small)	Scaled uncertainty
Templeton model
Original	1.065	0.096	0.032
Updated	0.971	0.003	0.032
IVFpredict
Original	0.965	0.004	0.039
Updated	0.963	0.001	0.039

Scaled modified Brier score = 1 + Scaled reliability—Scaled uncertainty.