Table 2.
All | Observed At Baseline (Nov 2005) | Baseline Trend | Part D | Trend Change | Absolute Effect 12 Months Post (Dec 2007)† | Relative Effect 12 Months Post (Dec 2007)† | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cap States | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value | Estimate (95% CI) | p-value | p-value | ||||
Any Use | 11% | 0.0002 (−0.0002,0.0005) | 0.344 | 0.04 (0.03,0.05) | <0.0001 | 0.001 (0.0002, 0.001) | 0.010 | 0.05 | 45% |
SMD‡ | 0.20 | 0.0002 (−0.001,0.001) | 0.628 | 0.05 (0.03,0.07) | <0.001 | −0.0001 (−0.001,0.001) | 0.916 | 0.04 | 25% |
No Cap States | |||||||||
Any Use | 28% | 0.001 (0.0004,0.001) | <0.001 | −0.01 (−0.01, −0.003) | 0.007 | −0.0005 (−0.001, −0.0001) | −0.026 | −0.02 | −3% |
SMD‡ | 0.48 | 0.001 (0.0005,0.002) | 0.001 | −0.002 (−0.02,0.01) | 0.828 | −0.002 (−0.003, −0.0005) | 0.005 | −0.03 | −4% |
: The 32 no-cap states were: AK, CO, CT, DC, DE, FL, HI, IA, ID, IN, MA, MD, MI, MN, MO, MT, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, OR, RI, SD, UT, VA, VT, WA, WI, WV, WY. The 4 strict cap states were: AR, MS, OK, TX. The following 11 states had less restrictive caps: AL, CA, GA, IL, KS, KY, ME, NC, NY, PA, SC. Three states were excluded from the study due to data anomalies: AZ, LA, OH. We also excluded one state due to the introduction of a drug cap during the baseline period: TN.
: Attributable differences (absolute and relative) as compared to expected values 1 year after Part D implementation were estimated for December 2007.
: Mean standardized monthly doses (SMDs) calculated across all individuals in cohort, not only those with dispensed claims.