Table 4.

Sex-Specific Baseline Projections of 10-Year Medicare Costs and Nursing Home (NH) Utilization Rates and Costs (in 2007 Dollars), 3-D GoM Model

Initial Pure Type	Total Years Lived	Years Lived in NH	Discounted Medicare Costs	Discounted Medicare Cost per Year Lived	Discounted NH Costs	Discounted NH Cost per Year Lived
	Males
I	8.54	0.99	58,199	6,817	40,971	4,799
II	6.23	1.70	76,906	12,351	74,679	11,993
III	4.33	2.15	63,752	14,737	100,682	23,275
IV	2.93	2.42	51,949	17,724	119,027	40,610
	Females
I	8.38	1.79	65,001	7,760	76,587	9,143
II	6.05	2.53	66,392	10,970	116,206	19,201
III	4.36	2.87	55,446	12,725	137,806	31,626
IV	4.20	2.61	54,845	13,055	125,584	29,893

Note: NH costs are fixed at the average Medicaid daily rate of $145 in 2007 dollars; costs are discounted at 3% per year.