Table 5.

Simulated Cost-Free Intervention Effects on 10-Year Medicare Costs and Nursing Home (NH) Utilization Rates and Costs (in 2007 Dollars), 3-D GoM Model, 9- Month and 36-Month Delays, Males

Initial Pure Type	Total Years Lived	Years Lived in NH	Discounted Medicare Costs	Discounted Medicare Cost per Year Lived	Discounted NH Costs	Discounted NH Cost per Year Lived
	9-Month Delay
I	0.23	−0.29	−2,560	−471	−12,145	−1,511
II	0.45	−0.15	2,612	−440	−7,562	−1,940
III	0.43	−0.16	3,395	−618	−9,430	−4,086
IV	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0
	36-Month Delay
I	0.57	−0.87	−10,015	−1,526	−36,165	−4,271
II	1.53	−0.74	6,940	−1,537	−34,640	−6,829
III	1.51	−0.66	11,189	−1,906	−35,866	−12,177
IV	0.00	0.00	0	0	0	0

Note: NH costs are fixed at the average Medicaid daily rate of $145 in 2007 dollars; costs are discounted at 3% per year.