Table 6.
Simulated Cost-Free Intervention Effects on 10-Year Medicare Costs and Nursing Home (NH) Utilization Rates and Costs (in 2007 Dollars), 3-D GoM Model, 9- Month and 36-Month Delays, Females
Initial Pure Type | Total Years Lived | Years Lived in NH | Discounted Medicare Costs | Discounted Medicare Cost per Year Lived | Discounted NH Costs | Discounted NH Cost per Year Lived |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9-Month Delay | ||||||
I | 0.36 | −0.22 | −2,173 | −566 | −10,184 | −1,540 |
II | 0.58 | −0.10 | 3,252 | −465 | −6,655 | −2,676 |
III | 0.00 | 0.01 | −1 | −10 | 330 | 52 |
IV | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
36-Month Delay | ||||||
I | 1.09 | −1.03 | −11,543 | −2,110 | −45,644 | −5,873 |
II | 2.13 | −0.53 | 10,758 | −1,540 | −29,871 | −8,648 |
III | 0.01 | 0.02 | −10 | −27 | 908 | 147 |
IV | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Note: NH costs are fixed at the average Medicaid daily rate of $145 in 2007 dollars; costs are discounted at 3% per year.