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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Oct 13.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Commun. 2015 Apr 13;6:6791. doi: 10.1038/ncomms7791

Table 4. Metabolites Associated with Incident Cardiovascular Disease (Second Stage Sample: N=2327).

Profiling
Method
Metabolite* Age- and Sex-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted

HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value
Polar,
positively
charged
cotinine 1.20 (1.08-1.32) 0.0004 1.14 (0.95-1.36) 0.16
histidine 0.87 (0.80-0.96) 0.005 0.88 (0.80-0.97) 0.01
lysine 0.97 (0.88-1.07) 0.55 0.95 (0.85-1.05) 0.31
threonine 0.91 (0.82-1.01) 0.07 0.94 (0.85-1.04) 0.20

Polar,
negatively
charged
aconitate 1.18 (1.05-1.33) 0.005 1.10 (0.97-1.24) 0.14
beta-hydroxybutyrate 1.10 (0.99-1.23) 0.07 1.10 (0.98-1.23) 0.10
isocitrate 1.35 (1.20-1.52) 3.0E-07 1.22 (1.08-1.38) 0.002
malate 1.18 (1.05-1.32) 0.004 1.16 (1.04-1.30) 0.009
taurocholate 1.06 (0.93-1.20) 0.40 1.03 (0.90-1.17) 0.69
uridine 0.89 (0.80-0.995) 0.04 0.93 (0.83-1.04) 0.22

Lipid LPC22:6 0.92 (0.82-1.02) 0.09 0.96 (0.87-1.07) 0.50
PC38:6 0.93 (0.83-1.04) 0.18 0.95 (0.84-1.06) 0.34

No. events per persons at risk was 358/2327 for the sample with polar positive analyte data, 326/1937 for the sample with polar negative analyte data, and 326/1944 for the sample with lipid data.

LPC, lysophosphatidylcholine; PC, phosphatidylcholine.

*

Metabolites were natural log transformed and standardized (mean=0, sd=1).

All analyses adjusted for age and sex; multivariable-adjusted models additionally adjusted for body mass index, systolic blood pressure, anti-hypertensive treatment, diabetes, smoking status, and total/HDL cholesterol.