Table 6. Univariate and multivariate analysis of predictive ability for the components of given scores for prediction of 1-year mortality and one-year risk of rehospitalisation for ADHF.
1- year mortality | Rehospitalisation for ADHF in one year | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
AUC (95% CI) | p 1 | AUC (95% CI) | p 1 | |
Age | 0.67 (0.60; 0.75) | <0.001 | 61.3(48.9; 73.8) | 0.134 |
Diabetes mellitus | 0.64 (0.55; 0.73) | 0.002 | 56.7(41.4; 72.0) | 0.377 |
Hypertension | 0.57 (0.49; 0.66) | 0.118 | 65.5(53.5; 77.5) | 0.041 |
Angina pectoris | 0.60 (0.50; 0.70) | 0.027 | 46.2(32.3; 60.2) | 0.617 |
Low systolic BP | 0.67 (0.76; 0.58) | <0.001 | 51.6(37.5; 65.6) | 0.836 |
Heart rate | 0.61 (0.51; 0.70) | 0.022 | 66.3(50.0; 82.7) | 0.031 |
Heart failure | 0.73 (0.64; 0.81) | <0.001 | 73.4(60.3; 86.5) | 0.002 |
Weight | 0.50 (0.40; 0.60) | 0.978 | 52.6(36.0; 69.3) | 0.727 |
Anterior MI or LBBB | 0.59 (0.50; 0.68) | 0.050 | 65.1(51.8; 78.5) | 0.045 |
Time to treatment | 0.58 (0.49; 0.67) | 0.080 | 53.7(38.9; 68.5) | 0.621 |
Cardiac arrest | 0.65 (0.55; 0.75) | 0.001 | 48.4(34.1; 62.8) | 0.837 |
Elevated cardiac enzymes | 0.50 (0.41; 0.59) | 0.984 | 50.1(35.3; 64.9) | 0.991 |
Creatinine/renal insufficiency | 0.68 (0.59; 0.77) | <0.001 | 62.3(44.0; 80.7) | 0.103 |
TIMI flow post PCI | 0.64 (0.74; 0.55) | 0.002 | 48.8(33.6; 63.9) | 0.871 |
3-vessel disease | 0.61 (0.51; 0.70) | 0.019 | 53.4(38.3; 68.6) | 0.650 |
Ejection fraction | 0.80 (0.87; 0.72) | 0.000 | 30.3(17.1; 43.6) | 0.009 |
Anaemia | 0.51 (0.42; 0.60) | 0.852 | 54.1(38.4; 69.7) | 0.590 |
Hospital event* | 0.73 (0.63; 0.82) | <0.001 | 59.3(43.1; 75.5) | 0.220 |
Multivariate model 2 | 0.91 (0.86; 0.97) | <0.001 | 0.84 (0.74; 0.93) | <0.001 |
*Recurrent MI, stroke, major bleed, CHF/shock, arrhythmia, renal failure
1 Statistical significance of AUC
2 Multivariate model consists of all statistical significant variables from univariate analysis