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. 2015 Apr 20;10(4):e0123215. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0123215

Table 6. Univariate and multivariate analysis of predictive ability for the components of given scores for prediction of 1-year mortality and one-year risk of rehospitalisation for ADHF.

1- year mortality Rehospitalisation for ADHF in one year
AUC (95% CI) p 1 AUC (95% CI) p 1
Age 0.67 (0.60; 0.75) <0.001 61.3(48.9; 73.8) 0.134
Diabetes mellitus 0.64 (0.55; 0.73) 0.002 56.7(41.4; 72.0) 0.377
Hypertension 0.57 (0.49; 0.66) 0.118 65.5(53.5; 77.5) 0.041
Angina pectoris 0.60 (0.50; 0.70) 0.027 46.2(32.3; 60.2) 0.617
Low systolic BP 0.67 (0.76; 0.58) <0.001 51.6(37.5; 65.6) 0.836
Heart rate 0.61 (0.51; 0.70) 0.022 66.3(50.0; 82.7) 0.031
Heart failure 0.73 (0.64; 0.81) <0.001 73.4(60.3; 86.5) 0.002
Weight 0.50 (0.40; 0.60) 0.978 52.6(36.0; 69.3) 0.727
Anterior MI or LBBB 0.59 (0.50; 0.68) 0.050 65.1(51.8; 78.5) 0.045
Time to treatment 0.58 (0.49; 0.67) 0.080 53.7(38.9; 68.5) 0.621
Cardiac arrest 0.65 (0.55; 0.75) 0.001 48.4(34.1; 62.8) 0.837
Elevated cardiac enzymes 0.50 (0.41; 0.59) 0.984 50.1(35.3; 64.9) 0.991
Creatinine/renal insufficiency 0.68 (0.59; 0.77) <0.001 62.3(44.0; 80.7) 0.103
TIMI flow post PCI 0.64 (0.74; 0.55) 0.002 48.8(33.6; 63.9) 0.871
3-vessel disease 0.61 (0.51; 0.70) 0.019 53.4(38.3; 68.6) 0.650
Ejection fraction 0.80 (0.87; 0.72) 0.000 30.3(17.1; 43.6) 0.009
Anaemia 0.51 (0.42; 0.60) 0.852 54.1(38.4; 69.7) 0.590
Hospital event* 0.73 (0.63; 0.82) <0.001 59.3(43.1; 75.5) 0.220
Multivariate model 2 0.91 (0.86; 0.97) <0.001 0.84 (0.74; 0.93) <0.001

*Recurrent MI, stroke, major bleed, CHF/shock, arrhythmia, renal failure

1 Statistical significance of AUC

2 Multivariate model consists of all statistical significant variables from univariate analysis