Table A2.
Estimated effects of the proportion and the aggregation level of the wild patches, the trade-off shape, the cropping season duration, the pathogen mean dispersal distance and interactions on the time required for the emergence of a crop pathogen (TE) and the mean aggressiveness of the stable pathogen population on the crop (
– Table2 of the main text)
| Effect | Mean (Confidence interval at 95%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time before emergence (log scale) | Mean aggressiveness (*10−1) | |||
| Random | Clustered | Random | Clustered | |
| Intercept | 1.78 (1.75,1.82) | 1.67 (1.64,1.70) | 2.20 (2.19,2.21) | 2.13 (2.12,2.14) |
| Wild host proportion (q) | −0.24 (−0.26, −0.21) | −0.17 (−0.19, −0.14) | −0.25 (−0.26, −0.24) | −0.21 (−0.22, −0.20) |
| Trade-off shape (β) | 0.62 (0.58,0.65) | 0.55 (0.52,0.59) | −0.21 (−0.22, −0.20) | −0.17 (−0.18, −0.16) |
| Cropping season duration (Y) | −0.66 (−0.69, −0.62) | −0.68 (−0.71, −0.65) | 0.59 (0.58,0.60) | 0.58 (0.57,0.59) |
| Pathogen mean dispersal distance (distMP) | −0.25 (−0.28, −0.23) | −0.24 (−0.27, −0.22) | 0.06 (0.05,0.07) | 0.05 (0.04,0.06) |
| q × β | −0.06 (−0.09, −0.04) | −0.06 (−0.09, −0.04) | 0.04 (0.03,0.05) | 0.02 (0.01,0.03) |
| q × Y | 0.03 (0.01,0.06) | 0.04 (0.01,0.07) | −0.08 (−0.09, −0.07) | −0.07 (−0.08, −0.06) |
| q × distMP | −0.04 (−0.07, −0.01) | −0.05 (−0.08, −0.03) | −0.03 (−0.04, −0.03) | −0.01 (−0.02,0.00) |
| β × Y | −0.10 (−0.14, −0.07) | −0.11 (−0.15, −0.08) | 0.11 (0.10,0.12) | 0.10 (0.09,0.11) |
| β × distMP | −0.13 (−0.16, −0.10) | −0.12 (−0.15, −0.09) | 0.06 (0.05,0.07) | 0.06 (0.05,0.07) |
| Y × distMP | 0.03 (0.00,0.05) | 0.06 (0.03,0.08) | 0.03 (0.03,0.04) | 0.01 (0.00,0.02) |
×, denotes interactions.