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. 2015 Apr 27;3:42. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2015.00042

Table 3.

Healthcare cost savings estimator tool: a small county.

Healthcare cost savings estimator tool: CDSMPa

National study case example Your local example: if you have data, please enter relevant numbers in cells marked in diagonal stripe for your population. This spreadsheet will make automatic calculations for you.

N % Change in % N % Change in %
1. EXAMINE THE PATTERN OF HEALTH CARE UTILIZATION WITHIN YOUR POPULATION
Emergency room (ER) visits
Include number of participants at baseline 1170 graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i001.jpg
Include number of participants reported visiting ER at baseline 211 18% 16%
Include number of participants at 6 months 903
Include number of participants reported visiting ER at the first 6 months 118 13% 5% 11% 5%
Include number of participants at 12 months 825
Include number of participants reported visiting ER at the second 6 months 108 13% 5% 11% 5%
Hospitalizations
Include number of participants reporting hospitalization at baseline 164 14% graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i002.jpg 12%
Include number of participants reporting hospitalization at the first 6 months 100 11% 3% 10% 2%
Include number of participants reporting hospitalization at the second 6 months 116 14% 0% 11% 1%
2. IDENTIFY MEAN COSTS FOR HEALTH CARE UTILIZATION FROM 2010 MEDICAL EXPENDITURE PANEL SURVEY (MEPS)
Age distribution Indicate the age distribution for your population
Include % for those 18–44 years of age 10% Indicate % for those 18–44 graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i003.jpg
Include % for those 45–64 years of age 31% Indicate % for those 45–64
Include % for those 65+ years of age 59% Indicate % for those 65+
ER visits
Mean costs of ER visits for those 18–44 years of age $ 1,465.00 $ 1,465.00
Mean costs of ER visits for those 45–64 years of age $ 1,738.00 $ 1,738.00
Mean costs of ER visits for those 65+ years of age $ 1,403.00 $ 1,403.00
Age-adjusted cost of ER visits $ 1,513.05 $ 1,514.77
Cost savings associated with ER visits per person at the first 6 months $ 75.65 $ 75.74
Cost savings associated with ER visits per person at the second 6 months $ 75.65 $ 75.74
Total cost savings associated with ER visits per person at two time periods $ 151.31 $ 151.48
Hospitalizations
Mean costs of hospitalizations for those 18–44 years of age $ 11,501.00 $ 11,501.00
Mean costs of hospitalizations for those 45–64 years of age $ 21,462.00 $ 21,462.00
Mean costs of hospitalizations for those 65+ years of age $ 18,554.00 $ 18,554.00
Age-adjusted cost of hospitalizations $ 18,750.18 $ 15,273.16
Cost savings associated with hospitalizations per person at the first 6 months $ 562.51 $ 305.46
Cost savings associated with hospitalizations per person at the second 6 months $– $ 152.73
Total cost savings associated with hospitalizations per person at two time periods $ 562.51 $ 458.19
3. ESTIMATE COSTS SAVED FROM REDUCED UTILIZATION FOR THE PERIOD OF TIME YOU ARE INTERESTED IN EXAMINING
Based on national information, potential annual health care savings per CDSMP participant from averting ER visits ($ 151.31) and hospitalizations ($ 562.51) can be estimated $ 713.81 Potential annual health care savings ($ 151.48 + $ 458.19) $ 609.67
4. ESTIMATE AVERAGE ANNUAL PROGRAM DELIVERY COSTS
Estimated program delivery costs per person in the National CDSMP study $ 350.00 Select your closest program cost per person from the drop-down menu graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i004.jpg
5. DEDUCT ANNUAL PROGRAM COSTS FROM ESTIMATED HEALTH CARE UTILIZATION SAVINGS
Based on national information and using average CDSMP costs per participant ($ 350.00), net cost savings related to ER visits and hospitalizations per CDSMP participant can be estimated $ 363.81 Net cost savings ($ 609.67 − $ 438.00) $ 171.67
6. EXTRAPOLATE TO NATIONAL SAVINGS USING CENSUS DATA COMBINED WITH MEPS DATA 6. CALCULATE YOUR SAVINGS BASED ON POPULATION TO REACH AND NEW AGE DISTRIBUTION
Number of American adults from Census data by age 234,564,071 100% Number of potential participants reflecting their age distribution graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i005.jpg 100%
18-44 112,806,642 48% 18–44 102 graphic file with name fpubh-03-00042-i006.jpg
45-64 81,489,445 35% 45–64 66
65+ 40,267,984 17% 65+ 32
Estimated % of American adults having at least 1 chronic condition from MEPS data by age 77% Net Cost Savings based on population to reach and new age distribution 194.02
18-44 71%
45-64 84%
65+ 94%
Number of American adults aged 18 and older having at least 1 chronic condition 180,614,335
Cost savings if you could reach ALL American adults age 18+ having at least 1 chronic condition $ 65,709,373,342.03
Include % of this population you want to reach 5%
Based on per participant program annual net savings ($ 363.81) for the population you want to reach (5%), national health care savings can be estimated $ 3,285,468,667.10 Your healthcare net cost savings by averting ER visits and hospitalizations attributed to CDSMP $38,803.06

aBe aware of potential limitations when presenting your data.

The cost estimates presented must be treated as general estimates, as they are not based on precise cost expenditures. Yet, we feel they are robust for purposes of providing ballpark health care utilization costs, program delivery expenses, and estimated net savings to support the widespread dissemination and sustainability of evidence-based chronic disease self-management programs.