Table 4.

Brier scores for the calibration models

	Outcome
Characteristic	Prevalence	Remission	Partial remission	Continuation	Incidence
Symptoms of anxiety and depression	0.0024	0.5540	0.2363	0.1761	0.0006
Life satisfaction	0.0025	0.5726	0.2684	0.1717	0.0006
Self-esteem	0.0025	0.4846	0.2499	0.1689	0.0007
Relationship satisfaction	0.0025	0.2594	0.2425	0.1665	0.0007
Lifetime major depression	0.0025	0.3186	0.2370	0.1709	0.0007
Sexual abuse	0.0025	0.2668	0.2385	0.1895	0.0007
Physical abuse	0.0025	0.2522	0.2357	0.1698	0.0007
Ever smoked	0.0026	0.3245	0.2452	0.1729	0.0007
Alcohol use > twice p/wk	0.0025	0.2683	0.2446	0.1704	0.0007