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. 2015 Apr 22;350:h1907. doi: 10.1136/bmj.h1907

Table 2.

 Models to predict 30 day cardiovascular death and myocardial infarction in study of prognostic capabilities of coronary computed tomographic angiography carried out before non-cardiac surgery

Model type No of patients No with event (%) Hazard ratio (95% CI) P value
Revised cardiac risk index scores as only independent variables*
RCRI scores (overall P<0.001†):
 0 320 15 (4.7) 1.00
 1 407 29 (7.1) 1.53 (0.82 to 2.86) 0.178
 2 178 19 (10.7) 2.37 (1.20 to 4.66) 0.013
 ≥3 50 11 (22.0) 5.25 (2.41 to 11.43) <0.001
CCTA findings as only independent variables*
CCTA findings (overall P<0.001‡):
 Normal 81 3 (3.7) 1.00
 Non-obstructive 371 19 (5.1) 1.40 (0.41 to 4.72) 0.590
 Obstructive 357 29 (8.1) 2.26 (0.69 to 7.41) 0.180
 Extensive obstructive 146 23 (15.8) 4.50 (1.35 to 15.00) 0.014
Combined CCTA findings and revised cardiac risk index scores§
RCRI scores (overall P=0.005†):
 0 320 15 (4.7) 1.00
 1 407 29 (7.1) 1.39 (0.74 to 2.61) 0.300
 2 178 19 (10.7) 1.88 (0.94 to 3.79) 0.076
 ≥3 50 11 (22.0) 4.02 (1.80 to 8.98) <0.001
CCTA findings (overall P=0.014‡):
 Normal 81 3 (3.7) 1.00
 Non-obstructive 371 19 (5.1) 1.51 (0.45 to 5.10) 0.509
 Obstructive 357 29 (8.1) 2.05 (0.62 to 6.74) 0.238
 Extensive obstructive 146 23 (15.8) 3.76 (1.12 to 12.62) 0.032

CCTA=coronary computed tomographic angiography; RCRI=revised cardiac risk index.

*C=0.62, 95% confidence interval 0.56 to 0.68.

†Overall P value for four category RCRI.

‡Overall P value for four category CCTA.

§C=0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.60 to 0.73.