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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jun 21.
Published in final edited form as: J Theor Biol. 2014 Dec 4;375:101–123. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.11.022

Table 2.

Issues that need to be addressed in revised theories and mathematical models of autoimmune disease

  • Some experimental and clinical evidence supports most theories of autoimmunity

  • Data generally support more than one theory; need to develop predictions and tests that differentiate between theories

  • Few theories or models of autoimmune disease explicitly explain how host tolerance is abrogated and those that do rarely describe the epidemiology and incidence of disease

  • New theories and models need to focus on anomalies (verifiable phenomena that do not fit theories)

  • AutoAbs, ICs, and autoreactive T cells are not necessarily “defective” but part of a normal healing process to clear and repair damaged self: How do triggers transform normal responses to pathogenic ones?

  • Damaged self must be presented to antigen presenting cells at the same time (day 0) as an infection, adjuvant or other environmental exposure: Why does timing matter?

  • Is there a role for recurrent infections in triggering autoimmune disease and if so, how can it be explained?

  • How can the relative rarity of autoimmune disease be explained in the context of the relative frequency of putative environmental triggers?

  • Some epidemiological evidence suggests multi-factorial causes of autoimmunity, but theories and models are generally mono-causal: what kind of autoimmune theories can explain multi-causal triggering of disease?

  • There is general confusion between necessity and sufficiency in use of data to test theories of autoimmunity: theories must be comprehensive

  • What are the roles of adjuvants in experimental models and how can these roles be explained within autoimmune disease theory?

  • Why do so-called adjuvant effects appear to be “specific”, individual adjuvants pairing with particular antigens, activating specific TLRs, etc.?

  • How can specific innate pathways required to initiate autoimmune disease be integrated with adaptive responses in a more comprehensive theory of autoimmune disease?

  • No theory or model of autoimmune disease defines a role for sex-dependent susceptibility yet all major autoimmune diseases occur predominantly either in men or women.

  • Innate activation of self-with-adjuvant or by infection occurs in the context of sex: how can this interplay be explained theoretically?

  • How can the fact that sex hormone receptors on/in immune cells direct the innate and adaptive immune response to the same antigen in different directions (i.e., Th1, Th2 or Th17) be incorporated into autoimmune disease theory and models?

  • Finally, and most importantly, can a comprehensive theory of autoimmune disease be developed that predicts novel prevention, treatment and therapy options?