Table 3-4.
Remaining Lifetime Risks for CVD and Other Diseases Among Men and Women Free of Disease at 40 and 70 Years of Age
| Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 40 y |
Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 70 y |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diseases | Men | Women | Men | Women |
| Any CVD* | 2 in 3 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 2 |
| CHD5 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 4 |
| AF43 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 |
| CHF44 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 |
| Stroke45 | 1 in 6† | 1 in 5† | 1 in 6 | 1 in 5 |
| Dementia45 | … | … | 1 in 7 | 1 in 5 |
| Hip fracture57 | 1 in 20 | 1 in 6 | … | … |
| Breast cancer58,61 | 1 in 1000 | 1 in 8 | … | 1 in 14 |
| Prostate cancer58 | 1 in 6 | … | … | … |
| Lung cancer58 | 1 in 12 | 1 in 17 | … | … |
| Colon cancer58 | 1 in 16 | 1 in 17 | … | … |
| Diabetes62 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 7 |
| Hypertension63 | 9 in 10† | 9 in 10† | 9 in 10‡ | 9 in 10‡ |
| Obesity64 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | … | … |
Ellipses (…) indicate not estimated.
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease; CHD, coronary heart disease; AF, atrial fibrillation; CHF, congestive heart failure.
*
Personal communication from Donald Lloyd-Jones, based on Framingham Heart Study data.
†
Age 55 years.
‡
Age 65 years.