Table 1.
Parameter | Value | Sources |
---|---|---|
Epidemiology | ||
Under-5 deaths due to diarrhoea in 2011 | 23 700 | Walker et al11 |
Proportion of under-5 diarrhoeal deaths attributed to rotavirus | 27% | Walker et al11 |
Percentage of mortality, from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5) | 31, 26, 18, 18, 6 | Authors’ calculations based on EDHS18 Rheingans et al;20 see online supplemental material |
Interventions | ||
Diarrhoeal treatment effectiveness | 0.93 | Munos et al12 |
Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness (per 2-dose course) | 0.49 | Madhi et al*13 |
Coverage of diarrhoeal treatment, from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5), before UPF Coverage of diarrhoeal treatment, from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5), after UPF |
22%; 25%; 35%; 33%; 53% 42%; 45%; 55%; 53%; 73% |
EDHS18 |
Coverage of vaccine (DTP2 rates), from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5), before UPF Coverage of vaccine (DTP2 rates), from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5), after UPF |
0%; 0%; 0%; 0%; 0% 42%; 45%; 47%; 57%; 78% |
EDHS18 |
Costs (2011) | ||
Hospitalisation costs for diarrhoea | US$49 | Stack et al;24 WHO-CHOICE25 |
Outpatient clinic visit costs for diarrhoea | US$9 | Stack et al;24 WHO-CHOICE25 |
Transportation costs for inpatient visit | US$8 | Authors’ calculations based on;14 26 see online supplementary material |
Transportation costs for outpatient visit | US$4 | Authors’ calculations based on;14 26 see online supplementary material |
Probability of hospitalisation for diarrhoea, from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5) | 0.02; 0.02; 0.01; 0.02; 0.01 | Authors’ calculations based on EDHS18 and Lamberti et al;27 see online supplementary material |
Probability of outpatient visit for diarrhoea, from poorest to richest (wealth quintile 1–5) | 0.22; 0.25; 0.35; 0.33; 0.53 | EDHS18 |
Vaccine price (per vial, 2 doses needed) | GAVI28 | |
Base case | US$1.0 | |
No GAVI subsidy | US$2.5 | |
With GAVI subsidy | US$0.2 | |
Vaccination system cost (per vial, 2 doses needed) | US$0.5 | Griffiths et al 29 |
Ethiopia's gross domestic product per capita | US$360 | World Bank14 |
*Based on data from Malawi.
DPT, diphtheria, pertussis, tetanus; UPF, universal public finance.