Table 5. Multiple Regression Models and Performance in Predicting Gestational Age and Preterm Birth.
Regression model; total number | % (n) | MSE | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Accuracy | F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(a) LMP and SFH (linear); n = 672 | 3.1 | 75.4 | 0.47 | 0.99 | 0.76 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.58 |
(21) | (±0.17) | (±0.007) | (±0.18) | (±0.01) | (±0.01) | |||
(b) LMP and total BS; n = 608 | 0.5 | 99.8 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.18 |
(3) | (±0.10) | (±0) | (±0) | (±0.02) | (±0.02) | |||
(c) SFH (linear) and total BS; n = 623 | 2.1 | 69.3 | 0.35 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.50 |
(13) | (±0.2) | (±0.004) | (±0.20) | (±0.01) | (±0.01) | |||
(d) LMP, SFH (linear) and total BS; n = 608 | 2.3 | 69.1 | 0.40 | 0.99 | 0.86 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.54 |
(14) | (±0.18) | (±0.004) | (±0.18) | (±0.01) | (±0.01) | |||
(e) LMP and SFH (sequential); n = 491 | 1.63 | 77.5 | 0.22 | 0.99 | 0.75 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.34 |
(8) | (±0.16) | (±0.006) | (±0.30) | (±0.02) | (±0.02) | |||
(f) LMP* and total BS; n = 301 | 0.7 | 72.5 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.27 |
(2) | (±0.20) | (±0) | (±0) | (±0.02) | (±0.02) |
Note: GW, gestational weeks; LMP, last menstrual period; LMP*, corrected last menstrual period based on PNG guidelines; SFH, symphysis-pubis fundal height; BS, Ballard Score PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; F, F-measure. Numbers in parentheses under sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and accuracy are 95% confidence intervals. The mean square error (MSE) assesses the fit of the regression models used to predict gestational age while sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, accuracy and F-measure are measures of performance in predicting PTB.