Table 2.
Comparison of the predictive ability of models using different experimental groups for calibration
| Calibration group | Validation set prediction | Test set prediction | Overall predictive ability | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % Correct < 7 days | % Correct ≥ 7 days | % Overall correct | % Correct < 7 days | % Correct ≥ 7 days | % Overall correct | ||
| IC_S | 83.3 (N = 15) | 96.2 (N = 25) | 90.1 (N = 40) | 85.8 (N = 139) | 83.8 (N = 243) | 84.5 (N = 382) | 87.3% |
| IC_S+B | 77.8 (N = 21) | 97.8 (N = 43) | 90.1 (N = 64) | 62.3 (N = 76) | 98.0 (N = 197) | 84.5 (N = 273) | 85.5% |
| FF_S | 61.1 (N = 11) | 92.6 (N = 25) | 80.0 (N = 36) | 76.4 (N = 126) | 66.7 (N = 186) | 70.3 (N = 312) | 71.2% |
| FF_S+B | 70.4 (N = 19) | 95.6 (N = 43) | 86.1 (N = 62) | 87.0 (N = 107) | 84.4 (N = 168) | 85.4 (N = 275) | 85.5% |
| IC_S+B + FF_S+B | 79.7 (N = 43) | 96.6 (N = 86) | 90.2 (N = 129) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 90.2% |
The percentage correctly identified as young and old, and the overall percentage of mosquitoes correctly identified are shown for samples predicted from validation set (subset of calibration experimental group(s) removed from model development) and test sets (samples reared and treated different than the calibration set).