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. 2015 May 7;282(1806):20150420. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2015.0420

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© 2015 The Authors. Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Figure 2. — Cumulative probability distribution function of time to coalescence of two lineages in our models, f_BD(t), f_CD(t), f_CDN(t) and f_CS(t), for low R₀ = 1.05 and N = 10, 100, 1000 and 10 000. Black displays the distribution of coalescent times under the birth–death (BD) model, blue under the deterministic coalescent (CD; dotted line corresponds to coalescent rate proportional to 1/(N(t) − 1)), and red under the stochastic coalescent (CS; dotted line corresponds to coalescent rate proportional to 1/(N(t) − 1)). Light blue corresponds to the deterministic coalescent with population size being the expected BD population size (CDN).