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. 2015 Apr 27;112(19):5962–5967. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1423558112

Table 1.

End-of-century predictions

Greenhouse gas concentration trajectory Households with air conditioning, % Change in residential electricity consumption (compared with 2010), % Total change in annual electricity expenditure (US 2010 dollars, millions) Total change in annual carbon dioxide emissions, millions of tons
Intensive margin only
RCP 4.5 13 7.5 $357 2.7
RCP 8.5 13 15.4 $733 5.5
Intensive and extensive margins, with 2% annual income growth
RCP 4.5 71 64.4 $3,065 23.1
RCP 8.5 81 83.1 $3,955 29.8