Table 3-4.
Remaining Lifetime Risks for CVD and Other Diseases Among Men and Women Free of Disease at 40 and 70 Years of Age
| Diseases | Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 40 y
|
Remaining Lifetime Risk at Age 70 y
|
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men | Women | Men | Women | |
| Any CVD* | 2 in 3 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 2 |
| CHD6 | 1 in 2 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 4 |
| AF23 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 | 1 in 4 |
| CHF24 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 | 1 in 5 |
| Stroke25 | 1 in 6† | 1 in 5† | 1 in 6 | 1 in 5 |
| Dementia25 | … | … | 1 in 7 | 1 in 5 |
| Hip fracture38 | 1 in 20 | 1 in 6 | … | … |
| Breast cancer39,42 | 1 in 1000 | 1 in 8 | … | 1 in 14 |
| Prostate cancer39 | 1 in 6 | … | … | … |
| Lung cancer39 | 1 in 12 | 1 in 17 | … | … |
| Colon cancer39 | 1 in 16 | 1 in 17 | … | … |
| Diabetes43 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 9 | 1 in 7 |
| Hypertension44 | 9 in 10† | 9 in 10† | 9 in 10‡ | 9 in 10‡ |
| Obesity45 | 1 in 3 | 1 in 3 | … | … |
CVD indicates cardiovascular disease; ellipses (…), not estimated; CHD, coronary heart disease; AF, atrial fibrillation; and CHF, congestive heart failure.
*
Personal communication from Donald Lloyd-Jones, based on Framingham Heart Study data.
†
Age 55 y.
‡
Age 65 y.