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. 2015 May 27;5:11. doi: 10.1186/s13561-015-0045-7

Table 4.

Alternative estimator results for log-normal, gamma and weibull distributions for n=100

Data Estimator MPE MPAE MSE(β) 95% CI AIC Prob. H.Lsignif
Lower upper
Log normal σ2=0.5 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03144 0.56088 0.06312 0.953 1.049 217.5766 0.0391
Gamma -0.00007 0.55234 0.05761 0.942 1.052 168.199 0.0361
Weibull -0.11282 0.58936 0.06098 0.935 1.057 175.260 0.0417
Cox -1.34295 3.32199 5.63414 -1.423 -1.263 716.154 0.0481
Log normal σ2=1 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03161 0.77499 0.12623 0.933 1.069 286.891 0.0365
Gamma -0.00020 0.76419 0.10963 0.907 1.081 192.904 0.0333
Weibull -0.00812 0.76533 0.12196 0.908 1.080 193.907 0.0330
Cox -0.94387 3.19872 3.91711 -1.020 -0.868 722.133 0.0479
Log normal σ2=1.5 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03195 0.93383 0.18935 0.917 1.085 327.438 0.0335
Gamma -0.00038 0.92175 0.15884 0.873 1.107 189.222 0.0300
Weibull 0.11681 0.86782 0.18295 0.887 1.099 185.001 0.0294
Cox -0.76851 3.15738 3.26405 -0.844 -0.694 724.207 0.0531
Log normal σ2=2 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03217 1.05939 0.25247 0.904 1.098 356.206 0.0320
Gamma -0.00068 1.04672 0.20674 0.840 1.132 172.665 0.0283
Weibull 0.23968 0.92933 0.24393 0.869 1.113 163.925 0.0276
Cox -0.66436 3.13647 2.90548 -0.738 -0.590 725.262 0.0544
Gamma α=0.5 OLS for Ln(y) -0.06210 0.98793 0.924 0.842 1.149 444.474 0.1015
Gamma -0.00071 0.95946 0.382 0.899 1.099 151.970 0.0366
Weibull 0.25749 0.88296 0.456 0.896 1.102 154.259 0.0380
Cox 0.69973 3.18874 2.997 -0.700 -0.626 724.990 0.050
Gamma α =1 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03843 0.74577 0.307 0.915 1.093 335.557 0.0569
Gamma -0.00026 0.73384 0.185 0.934 1.072 196.691 0.0391
Weibull -0.00460 0.73458 0.185 0.934 1.072 196.682 0.0395
Cox -1.02065 3.27855 4.182 -1.095 -0.947 721.285 0.0518
Gamma α =2 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03271 0.54277 0.120 0.946 1.057 242.168 0.0504
Gamma -0.00011 0.53579 0.092 0.950 1.494 171.847 0.0434
Weibull -0.11069 0.56268 0.087 0.949 1.049 172.908 0.0471
Cox -1.44678 3.44580 6.080 -1.525 -1.369 714.645 0.0503
Gamma α =4 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03138 0.39126 0.053 0.966 1.040 160.228 0.0436
Gamma -0.00001 0.38627 0.046 0.967 1.037 122.262 0.0403
Weibull -0.13163 0.41676 0.044 0.964 1.038 125.708 0.0515
Cox -2.05432 3.72857 9.359 -2.138 -1.970 702.730 0.0506
Wiebull α=0.5 OLS for Ln(y) -0.07169 1.20997 0.82955 0.830 1.186 473.993 0.0833
Gamma -0.00180 1.16992 0.36191 0.839 1.145 83.622 0.032
Weibull 0.48656 0.96925 0.50264 0.856 1.138 79.302 0.0345
Cox -0.49779 3.13454 2.38376 -0.668 -0.330 726.558 0.0485
Wiebull α =1 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03853 0.74709 0.20739 0.915 1.093 335.3635 0.0574
Gamma -0.00025 0.73522 0.12587 0.928 1.068 196.7417 0.0399
Weibull -0.00400 0.73582 0.12566 0.928 1.068 196.7316 0.0397
Cox -1.00326 3.28425 4.16180 -1.176 -0.834 721.3257 0.0505
Wiebull α =5 OLS for Ln(y) -0.03115 0.18335 0.00829 0.983 1.019 13.476 0.0480
Gamma -0.00001 0.18277 0.00738 0.984 1.016 -7.0357 0.0437
Weibull -0.08850 0.19266 0.00503 0.986 1.014 -16.598 0.0639
Cox -5.04559 6.57363 36.88155 -5.160 -4.932 636.392 0.0472