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. 2015 May 29;11(5):e1004301. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004301

Table 5. Comparison of an additional model including frame-specific parameters: Relative log-group Bayes factors and exceedance probabilities.

Family 3 Additional model
Moments and pstarve
Model Model Model Model
7 8 9 10
EV EV EV EV
pstarve Var Var forage-pstarve
pstarve Skw casino-pstarve
pstarve
Relative log-group Bayes factors—all data (smaller is better) 0 23 64 -797
Exceedance probabilities—all data (higher is better) 0.0002 0.0001 0.0014 0.9983

Log-group Bayes factors based on BIC were calculated relative to the simplest model (Model 7). Smaller log-group Bayes factors indicate more evidence for the respective model versus the baseline model. The log-group Bayes factor of the winning model according to fixed-effects analysis and the highest exceedance probability according to random-effects analysis are written in bold font. BIC, Bayesian information criterion; EV, expected value; Var, variance; Skw, skewness; pstarve starvation probability