Table 3.
Bayes factors model comparison of migration models for P. perna
| Models | Model parameters | Bézier | dBézier | Probability | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | Set 2 | Set 3 | |||||
| Model 1 | W↔ C ↔ E and W ↔ E | *** | *** | *** | −763993 | −321213 | 0 |
| Model 2 | W → C → E and W → E | *00 | **0 | *** | −459610 | −16830 | 0 |
| Model 3 | W ← C ← E and W ← E | *** | 0** | 00* | −442780 | 0 | 1 |
| Model 4 | W ← C → E | **0 | 0*0 | 0** | −459610 | −16830 | 0 |
Model parameters code as follows: the first set of three signs indicate estimation of theta for West, migration from Centre to West, migration from East to West; the second set indicate migration from West to Centre, estimation of theta for Centre, migration from East to Centre; the third set indicates migration from West to East, migration from Centre to East and estimation of theta for East. An asterisk indicates that that particular parameter was estimated by the model, and a 0 indicates that no migration was allowed.