Table 5. Purely spatial clusters of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis with significant most likely and secondary clusters in the Sidama Zone in southern Ethiopia, 2003–2012.
Cluster type | Year | Number of cluster locations | Observed cases | Expected cases | Likelihood ratio | Relative risk | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Most likely cluster | 2003 | 176 | 909 | 475 | 291 | 3.89 | <0.001 |
Most likely cluster | 2004 | 155 | 891 | 482 | 232 | 3.1 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 2004 | 12 | 141 | 47 | 64 | 3.2 | <0.001 |
2nd secondary | 2004 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 4.2 | <0.001 |
Most likely cluster | 2005 | 235 | 958 | 637 | 147 | 2.6 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 2005 | 9 | 74 | 27 | 27 | 2.8 | <0.001 |
2nd secondary | 2005 | 5 | 57 | 19 | 25 | 3.1 | <0.001 |
Most likely | 2006 | 178 | 817 | 483 | 169 | 2.7 | <0.001 |
Secondary cluster | 2006 | 9 | 69 | 26 | 24 | 2.7 | <0.001 |
2nd secondary | 2006 | 4 | 39 | 16 | 11 | 2.5 | 0.003 |
Most likely | 2007 | 152 | 822 | 509 | 128 | 2.2 | <0.001 |
Secondary | 2007 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 36 | 13.5 | <0.001 |
2nd Secondary | 2007 | 5 | 55 | 18 | 24 | 3.1 | <0.001 |
3rd Secondary | 2007 | 2 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 6.3 | <0.001 |
Most likely cluster | 2008 | 192 | 1,416 | 926 | 204 | 2.3 | <0.001 |
Secondary cluster | 2008 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0.032 |
Most likely cluster | 2009 | 155 | 1,139 | 697 | 190 | 2.3 | <0.001 |
Secondary clusters | 2009 | 8 | 111 | 50 | 28 | 2.3 | <0.001 |
2nd Secondary | 2009 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 4.2 | 0.011 |
3rd secondary | 2009 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0.014 |
4th secondary | 2009 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3.6 | 0.020 |
Most likely cluster | 2010 | 11 | 187 | 63 | 83 | 3.2 | <0.001 |
Secondary cluster | 2010 | 20 | 146 | 83 | 20 | 1.8 | <0.001 |
2nd Secondary | 2010 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 18 | 4.7 | <0.001 |
3rd Secondary | 2010 | 16 | 90 | 46 | 17 | 2.04 | <0.001 |
4th secondary | 2010 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 13 | 2.4 | <0.001 |
5th Secondary | 2010 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 2.7 | 0.002 |
6th secondary | 2010 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 4.7 | 0.009 |
Most likely cluster | 2011 | 180 | 2,019 | 1,531 | 122 | 1.6 | <0.001 |
Secondary cluster | 2011 | 13 | 187 | 95 | 35 | 2.02 | <0.001 |
2nd Secondary | 2011 | 1 | 38 | 7 | 33 | 5.5 | <0.001 |
Most likely cluster | 2012 | 9 | 205 | 65 | 100 | 3.3 | <0.001 |
Secondary cluster | 2012 | 13 | 196 | 91 | 46 | 2.2 | <0.001 |
2nd Secondary | 2012 | 56 | 658 | 468 | 39 | 1.5 | <0.001 |
3rd Secondary | 2012 | 29 | 359 | 250 | 22 | 1.5 | <0.001 |
4th Secondary | 2012 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 13 | 2.6 | <0.001 |
5th Secondary | 2012 | 4 | 73 | 39 | 12 | 1.9 | 0.003 |
6th Secondary | 2012 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 3.1 | 0.006 |
7th Secondary | 2012 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3.5 | 0.05 |