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. 2015 Jun 2;5:10724. doi: 10.1038/srep10724

Figure 2. Various dynamical behaviors of vaccine uptake emerge at different values of vaccine cost and efficacy in the rational decision model.

Figure 2

(a,b) and the bounded-rationality model (c,d). e-m plane at δV = 0.02 of the rational decision model (a) and the bounded-rationality case (c,d) at cognitive parameters αV = 0.8271, αN = 0.9480, λV,o = 9.4515, λV,c = 1.7600, λN,o = 1.9011, λN,c = 1.7438, ηV = 0.2827, ηN = 0.5114. In (a) there are two bistability regions where the equilibrium points Inline graphic and Inline graphic are stable in region III, and the equilibrium points Inline graphic and Inline graphic are stable in region II. Besides, equilibrium point Inline graphic is stable in region I and in an extremely narrow stripe between the two bistability regions II and III (bounded by e = 0.941159 and e = 0.941176). M = .00975 is the cutoff vaccine cost in case δV = 0.02 in (a) (see also panel (b)). (b) A contour plot for values of Inline graphic calculated at each pair of (e,m) in the rational decision model. The full vaccination equilibrium point Inline graphic is stable in the regions where δV is larger than the value of Inline graphic and equation (8) in Appendix II is valid, that is e < 0.941159. With deviation from the rational decision model, a different em plane emerges in (c). There, a bistability region (II) of the equilibrium points Inline graphic and Inline graphic transpires as well as other regions of stability for Inline graphic in IV, Inline graphic in I, and Inline graphic in III. Limit cycles appear in region V. (d) eδV plane of stability, at m = 0, in which the equilibrium point Inline graphic is stable in region I and Inline graphic in region II while limit cycles appear in region III. In both (c) and (d), the line between the regions where Inline graphic is stable and the limit cycles is a supercritical Hopf bifurcation line whereas the rest of the lines are stability changing bifurcation lines. Limit cycles of vaccine coverage rate (e) and incidence (f) at δV = 0.02, m = 0, and e = 0.99. The rest of the parameters are κ = 1.69,c = 1.46,δN = 0.02 in all of the subpanels.