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. 2015 Jun 3;10(6):e0126893. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0126893

Table 1. Values for input parameters for the model and references.

Description of parameter Value References
Demographic characteristics of MSM population
 Proportion of MSM among sexually active men (≥15 years old) 1%-2% [26]
 Population size of MSM in 2010 108,000 a
 Average life expectancy of HIV negative MSM 79 years [27]
 Sexually active life years of MSM 46 years [26]
CD4 based natural history of HIV infection with or without ART
 Length of acute HIV infection 3 months [2223]
 Length of early latent infection 4.33 years [29]
 Length of late latent infection 2.66 years [29]
 Length of AIDS period 2 years [22,24]
 Life expectancy of PLWHA initiating ART at early latent infection stage 79 years [3032]
 Life expectancy of PLWHA initiating ART at late latent infection stage 33.7 years b
 Life expectancy of PLWHA initiating ART at AIDS stage 22.2 years b
Treatment withdrawal or failure of HIV infected MSM
 Proportion of ART patients withdrawing or failing in treatment 3%-7% c
Infectiousness of HIV infected MSM by disease stage
Average number of people infected by a HIV positive MSM in a year 0.12–0.13 d
 Acute infection 1.2–1.3
 Early latent infection 0.12–0.13
 Late latent infection 0.24–0.26
 AIDS 0.6–0.65
Transmission risk of HIV infected MSM on ART
 Relative risk of Transmission of HIV infected MSM on ART versus those not on ART 0.04–0.1 [35]
HIV testing rate and ART coverage
 HIV testing rate under current practice 50% c
 HIV testing rate under test-and-treat strategy 50%-90%
 ART coverage under current practice 39% c
 ART coverage under test-and-treat strategy 39%-90%

a Calculated from China Population and Employment Statistics.

b Calculation method described in S1 File.

c Calculated from CRIMS.

d Calculation method described in S2 File.