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. 2015 Feb 3;23(3):699–706. doi: 10.1002/oby.20997

Table 2.

Multivariable associations between adiposity measures and incident diabetes: SABRE study

Adiposity measure Model Europeans
South Asians
African Caribbeans
SHR 95% CI SHR 95% CI SHR 95% CI
In men
VAT 1 1.74*** 1.49, 2.03 1.60*** 1.38, 1.86 1.72** 1.26, 2.35
2 1.43* 1.00, 2.05 2.18*** 1.61, 2.96 1.38 0.71, 2.66
3 1.16 0.77, 1.76 1.90*** 1.37, 2.64 1.44 0.69, 3.02
4 1.32 0.90, 1.94 1.87*** 1.36, 2.55 1.35 0.70, 2.62
SAT 1 2.05*** 1.67, 2.52 1.59*** 1.36, 1.87 1.74** 1.23, 2.46
2 1.22 0.51, 2.93 2.81** 1.46, 5.42 1.03 0.39, 2.64
3 0.74 0.27, 2.04 2.67** 1.37, 5.23 1.25 0.48, 3.22
4 0.84 0.35, 2.03 2.21* 1.11, 4.37 1.04 0.41, 2.68
Truncal skinfolds 1 1.73*** 1.46, 2.07 1.49*** 1.29, 1.72 1.57*** 1.24, 1.98
2 1.21 0.94, 1.56 1.21 0.99, 1.49 1.34 0.96, 1.86
3 1.02 0.77, 1.36 1.24 0.97, 1.57 1.28 0.89, 1.86
4 1.11 0.86, 1.43 1.07 0.86, 1.33 1.27 0.89, 1.82
Leg skinfolds 1 1.87*** 1.38, 2.54 1.60** 1.22, 2.11 1.13 0.54, 2.37
2 1.06 0.71, 1.59 1.03 0.73, 1.47 0.42 0.15, 1.22
3 1.00 0.62, 1.60 1.08 0.72, 1.62 0.49 0.17. 1.41
4 1.04 0.68, 1.58 0.87 0.61, 1.25 0.41 0.13, 1.19
In women
VAT 1 2.35*** 1.74, 3.19 1.80* 1.01, 3.23 2.85*** 1.84, 4.41
2 2.66* 1.14, 6.20 1.24 0.59, 2.58 3.36** 1.50, 7.53
3 2.71* 1.16, 6.34 1.07 0.49, 2.31 3.18** 1.37, 7.39
4 2.39 0.97, 5.89 0.96 0.45, 2.04 3.32* 1.21, 9.11
SAT 1 1.70*** 1.37, 2.12 1.44 0.98, 2.12 1.29* 1.05, 1.59
2 1.08 0.48, 2.46 0.82 0.26, 2.60 0.79 0.44, 1.43
3 0.93 0.44, 1.96 0.94 0.29, 3.07 0.84 0.47, 1.51
4 1.09 0.55, 2.18 0.90 0.28, 2.89 0.83 0.44, 1.56
Truncal skinfolds 1 1.82*** 1.38, 2.38 2.00** 1.27, 3.13 1.70*** 1.29, 2.23
2 1.43 0.93, 2.20 1.91* 1.05, 3.48 1.65* 1.07, 2.54
3 1.23 0.74, 2.05 1.91* 1.03, 3.56 1.42 0.86, 2.34
4 1.37 0.89, 2.11 1.93* 1.05, 3.55 1.44 0.89, 2.32
Leg skinfolds 1 1.68** 1.15, 2.44 1.59* 1.04, 2.43 1.39 0.98, 1.97
2 1.19 0.80, 1.77 1.36 0.76, 2.43 1.07 0.59, 1.95
3 1.07 0.69, 1.65 1.41 0.80, 2.45 1.19 0.64, 2.19
4 1.23 0.84, 1.82 1.38 0.79, 2.43 1.20 0.64, 2.27

SHR: subhazard ratio (competing risks models) showing the effect of a 1 SD increase in each adiposity measure on incident diabetes.

*

P < 0.05

**

P < 0.01

***

P < 0.001. Model 1: adjusted for age, model 2: adjusted for age + BMI, model 3: adjusted for age + BMI + smoking status + systolic blood pressure + HDL-cholesterol, model 4: adjusted for age + BMI + HOMA2-IR.

VAT: visceral adipose tissue; SAT: subcutaneous adipose tissue.