Table 3.
Crude test of hypothetical effect of mortality gaps on US gubernatorial elections
| State - year | Republican Candidate votes (two-party vote share %) | Democratic Candidate votes (two-party vote share %) | Two-party Vote difference (%) | 35-year Voting-age hypothetical black survivors (% black VAP) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama - 2002 | 672,225 50.1 |
669,105 49.9 |
3,120 0.2 |
54,778 6.7 |
| New Jersey - 1997 | 1,133,394 50.6 |
1,107,968 49.4 |
25,426 1.1 |
75,049 9.1 |
| Alabama - 1994 | 604,926 50.4 |
594,169 49.6 |
10,757 0.9 |
54,778 6.7 |
| New Jersey - 1993 | 1,236,192 50.5 |
1,210,130 49.5 |
26,062 1.1 |
75,049 9.1 |
| Mississippi - 1991 | 361,296 50.8 |
349,775 49.2 |
11,521 1.6 |
45,604 6.4 |
| Michigan - 1990 | 1,276,134 50.3 |
1,258,539 49.7 |
17,595 0.7 |
90,554 9.1 |
| New Jersey - 1981 | 1,145,999 50.0 |
1,144,202 50.0 |
1,797 0.1 |
75,049 9.1 |
| Louisiana - 1979 | 690,691 50.3 |
681,134 49.7 |
9,557 0.7 |
71,700 7.2 |
| Texas - 1978 | 1,183,828 50.4 |
1,166,919 49.6 |
16,909 0.7 |
100,065 5.6 |
| Ohio - 1974 | 1,532,214 50.2 |
1,520,554 49.8 |
11,660 0.4 |
63,685 6.8 |
| South Carolina - 1974 | 266,338 51.7 |
248,861 48.3 |
17,477 3.4 |
62,175 7.3 |