Table 4. Base case results for projected demographic events and impact of family planning on maternal, newborn and child mortality.

Projected demographic events	2014 baseline	Changes in 2030
Contraceptive prevalence rate (%)	64.6	75.5
Total fertility rate (number)	2.43	1.65
Total number of pregnancies	1 336 800	1 006 000
Unintended pregnancies (number)	535 400	383 500
Abortions (number)	103 400	74 071
Live births (number)	1 059 600	939 500
Projected impact on mortality	2014 baseline	Changes in 2030
Number of maternal deaths	2 800	1 700
Number of child deaths (0–69)	38 100	28 300
Number of neonatal deaths	12 800	10 800
Maternal mortality ratio (deaths per 100,000 live births)	269	210
Maternal mortality rate (deaths per 10,000 women aged 15–49)	21	11
Under-5 mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births)	41	34
Neonatal mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births)	12	12
Deaths averted by family planning (2030)	Deaths averted	Potential life years gained
Maternal deaths	600	16 200
Child deaths (0–69 months)	5 900	354 000
Neonatal deaths	1 500	90 000

All essential maternal and child health interventions linearly scaled up by 0.5% per year. Potential life years gained = total deaths multiplied by life expectancy (27 years for mothers and 60 years for neonates and children). CPR = Contraceptive prevalence rate. Figures rounded to the nearest 100.