Table 3.
Predictive variables | Sensitivity | Specificity | Overall prediction (%) | Likelihood ratio | p value | Threshold | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Value (% fall) | 95% CI | Value (% recovery) | 95% CI | Value | 95% CI | |||||
Feasible-stability-region measurement | 68.4 | 58.6–76.7 | 56.2 | 45.8–66.0 | 62.6 | 1.56 | 1.19–2.05 | < 0.001 | −0.160 | |
Margin of stability | 71.4 | 61.8–79.4 | 36.0 | 26.8–46.3 | 54.5 | 1.12 | 0.91–1.36 | 0.166 | ||
Floquet multiplier | 71.4 | 61.8–79.4 | 43.8 | 34.0–54.2 | 58.3 | 1.27 | 1.02–1.59 | 0.121 | ||
Lyapunov exponent | Short-term | 84.7 | 76.3–90.5 | 15.7 | 9.61–24.7 | 51.9 | 1.01 | 0.89–1.14 | 0.383 | |
Long-term | 65.3 | 55.5–74.0 | 48.3 | 38.2–58.6 | 57.2 | 1.26 | 0.99–1.62 | 0.205 | ||
Gait parameters variability | Step length | 63.3 | 53.4–72.1 | 47.2 | 37.2–57.5 | 55.6 | 1.20 | 0.94–1.54 | 0.116 | |
Step width | 60.2 | 50.3–69.3 | 48.3 | 38.2–58.6 | 54.5 | 1.17 | 0.90–1.51 | 0.011 | 0.026 | |
Step time | 84.7 | 76.3–90.5 | 18.0 | 11.4–27.2 | 52.9 | 1.03 | 0.91–1.17 | 0.459 |
CI: confidence interval.