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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Jun 17.
Published in final edited form as: Health Aff (Millwood). 2014 Mar;33(3):401–409. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2013.0824

EXHIBIT 2. Historical (1992-2011) and projected (2012-2040) HIV incidence (per 1,000 person-years) among PWID in residing in the New York metropolitan area, for various HIV prevention strategies.

EXHIBIT 2

EXHIBIT 2

Sources: Black solid line represents previously published calibrated output.15 Empirical data (shown in gray) obtained from Des Jarlais (2005.3

Notes: Hypohetical prevention strategies as described in Exhibit 1. Abbreviations: HIV – human immunodeficiency virus; PWID – people who inject drugs; NSP – needle and syringe exchange program; SA – substance abuse; TAsP – treatment as prevention.