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. 2015 Jun 22;5(2):243–254. doi: 10.5498/wjp.v5.i2.243

Table 1.

Positive Association Studies

Ref. Countries studied Study design Suicide data source Recession period Economic indicator(s) used Findings
Yang[45] United States Time series study Multiple regression analysis Hollinger P.C Violent Deaths in the United States New York: Guild 1987[63] Not Specified Gross National Product per capita Unemployment rate Total suicide rates were significantly and positively associated with increases in gross national product per capita and unemployment rate (P < 0.05 for both) However, total suicide rates were significantly and negatively associated with increases in gross national product with a one year lag (P < 0.05)
Lester et al[47] United States and Japan Time series study Pearson correlation analyses and regression analyses Annual volumes of Vital Statistics of the United States Not Specified Change in Gross National Product Unemployment Rate Increase in unemployment was significantly and positively correlated with increase in suicide rates in both the United States and Japan (P < 0.05 for both). Regression analyses, however, only showed a positive and significant relationship between unemployment and suicide rates in Japan (P < 0.05)
Gavrilova[16] Russia Time series study Descriptive statistics Gokomstat (Russian statistical committee) 1992-1993 Average real earning and consumer prices Male suicide rate + 61% and Female Suicide Rate + 22% over 1991-1994 Male morality rate (per 100000) 1991: 47.7 1994: 76.9 Female Mortality Rate (per 100000) 1991: 11.6 1994: 13.2
Ruhm[19] United States Panel Study Regression analysis US Census Bureau Not Specified Unemployment Rate Suicide rate predicted to increase by 1.3% for every percentage point increase in unemployment rate (P = 0.05)
Brainerd[21] 22 former Soviet Bloc Countries Panel study using regression analysis World Health Organisation “Health For All” Database 2000 1990-1994 Gross national product per capita and employment to population ratio A $100 increase in GNP per capita predicted a decrease in suicide rate by 0.14% (P > 0.05) to -0.20% (P < 0.01) in males A one percentage point increase in employment to population ratio predicted decreased suicide rates in males by 3% (P < 0.01)
Lester[42] United States Panel Study Regression analysis Statistical Abstract of the United States Not Specified Gross state product per capita Female labour force participation A one percent increase in gross state product per capita was associated with a 0.45% decrease in total state suicide rates and a 0.55% decrease for male suicide rates (P < 0.05 for both)
Kim et al[28] South Korea Time Series Study Descriptive statistics and regression analysis 1999 report on cause specific mortality by the South Korean Statistical office 1997-1999 Unemployment rates and GDP Suicide cases increased for three months after the recession onset, but decreased after this point Estimated excess suicide mortality caused by recession = 5.1 in 1998 and 0.5 in 1999 (P < 0.01 for both estimates)
Gerdtham et al[12] Sweden Cohort Study using descriptive statistics and probit regression Statistic Sweden’s Survey of living conditions Not specified Advanced notification of job loss, changes in GDP, deviation from GDP trends unemployment rates, industry capacity utilisation, and industry confidence indicators A one standard deviation increase in GDP decreased the risk of suicide by 22.7% (P < 0.05) A one standard deviation increase in the confidence indicator reduces suicide risk by 22.3% (P < 0.05). A one standard deviation decrease in the advanced notification of job loss rate, decreased suicide risk by 21.5% (P < 0.05)
Khang et al[15] South Korea Time-series Study Descriptive statistics Death certificates from South Korean Statistical office 1997-2002 Unemployment rate and GDP per capita Substantial increase in suicide rates post 1997 in males and females, and then a decline in the rate in both sexes until 2000 Age specific male and female suicide rates (per 100000) in 1996 and 1998: 1-14: MF = 0.8 (1996) and 0.8 (1998) 15-34: MF = 13.5 (1996) and 16.5 (1998) 34-65: M = 26.4 (1996) and 44.3 (1998) F = 8.9 (1996) and 11.9 (1998) 65-79: M = 42.4 (1996) and 58.5 (1998) F = 15.8 (1996) and 22.3 (1998)
Tapia Granados[44] United States Time series study Regression analysis Historical Statistics of the United States Not Specified Unemployment rates Suicide rates significantly associated with increases in the rate of change of unemployment rates from 1920-1944 (P < 0.01) and 1920-1996 (P < 0.01)
Granados[20] Spain Panel study Regression analysis Instituto Nacional de Estadística. (National Statistics Institute) Not specified National and province level unemployment rates Suicide rate predicted to increase by 1.28% for every percentage point increase in the unemployment rate (P = 0.05)
Chang et al[27] 27 European Countries 18 American Countries 8 Asian Countries One South African Country Time series study World Health Organisation Mortality Database and The Center for Disease Control Online Database (for the United States) 2008-2010 Gross Domestic Product and Unemployment Overall suicide rates in men rose 3.3% (95%CI: 2.7-3.9) with a rate ratio of 1.033 (95%CI: 1.027-1.039) and an estimated excess mortality of 5124 (95%CI: 4219-6029) that could be attributed to the recession
Garcy et al[13] Sweden Time series study Cox regression Swedish work and mortality database 1993-1996 Unemployment rates No excess hazard of suicide mortality attributable to unemployment during the recession in men or women, although an excess hazard post-recession (1997-2002) in men (Hazard ratio = 1.43, 95%CI: 1.31-1.56) and women (Hazard ratio = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.04-1.54)
Chan et al[30] South Korea Time Series Study Regression analysis National Statistical office of Korea January 2009 to December 2010 Unemployment Rates Between 2009 and 2010, there was a statistically significant positive association (P < 0.001 for most associations) between suicide rates and national unemployment rates in both the employed and unemployed except in employed men and women aged 50-59 and unemployed men aged 30-39
Madianos et al[32] Greece Time series study Descriptive statistics correlation and regression analyses Vital Statistics Bureau of the Hellenic Statistical Authority 2008-2011 Unemployment Rates Debt as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product Unemployment and debt as percentage of GDP were significantly and positively correlated with suicide rates ρ = + 0.64, P < 0.001 for unemployment, and ρ = +0.47, P < 0.05 for debt as a percentage of GDP In regression models, increases in unemployment and debt as percentage of GDP were significantly associated with increases in suicide rate (P < 0.05 for debt as a percentage of GDP and P < 0.01 for unemployment)
Phillips et al[25] United States Panel study Regression analysis National Center for Health Statistics 2007-2009/2010 Unemployment Rates Unemployment significantly (P < 0.05) and positively associated with changes in suicide rates but not in the elderly (65+) or young (15-24)
Pompili et al[33] Italy Time series analysis Joinpoint regression Italian Mortality Database 2007-2010 Gross Domestic Product Unemployment rate 2006-2010: Age specific suicide rates increased in working age men (25-64) by 12% (RR = 1.12; 95%CI: 1.04-1.19), but not in older (65-85+) or younger age groups (1-24)
Reeves et al[26] Europe and North America Time series study World Health Organisation Mortality Database and The Center for Disease Control Database 2008-2010 (Europe) 2008-2009 (Canada) Unemployment rates Using 2007 as a baseline, the excess suicide mortality attributable to the recession across the United States, Canada and Europe was 10000