Table 4.

Discrimination capacity for each model in Spain, the Spanish Mediterranean region (consisting of Andalusia, Murcia, Valencia, and Catalonia), and outside the Spanish Mediterranean region. Values of AUC are shown

Factor	AOGCM-SRES	All of Spain	Only Medit. Spanish region	Only non-Medit. Spanish region
Topographic		0.766	0.823	0.692
Climatic	HadAM3H	0.758	0.669	0.740
	CGCM2-A2	0.762	0.567	0.764
	CGCM2-B2	0.762	0.570	0.765
	ECHAM4-A2/B2	0.758	0.617	0.752
	HadCM2SUL	0.768	0.610	0.755
Topo-climatic	HadAM3H	0.855	0.837	0.833
	CGCM2-A2	0.858	0.829	0.840
	CGCM2-B2	0.857	0.831	0.837
	ECHAM4-A2/B2	0.854	0.827	0.838
	HadCM2SUL	0.852	0.835	0.830
Topog. ∩ Climat.	HadAM3H	0.836	0.787	0.821
	CGCM2-A2	0.855	0.829	0.844
	CGCM2-B2	0.855	0.829	0.845
	ECHAM4-A2/B2	0.845	0.815	0.831
	HadCM2SUL	0.849	0.829	0.824