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. 2015 Jan 15;30(3):443–461. doi: 10.1007/s10980-014-0148-2

Table 2.

Adaptation strategies as applied within each combination of climate and socio-economic scenario

Adaptation Strategies Settings (↓ decrease to minimum ↑ increase to maximum)
1. Food self-sufficiency: Food imports are reduced to the minimum to encourage European food self-sufficiency [Food Imports] ↓
2. Irrigation for food: This strategy is a combination of “food self-sufficiency” and “maximising water efficiency”. Water is prioritised for agricultural use

[Food Imports] ↓

[Irrigation efficiency] ↑

[Water savings (technology)] ↑ [(behavioural)] ↑

[Water demand prioritisation] = “prioritise food production”

3. Maximising water efficiency: Water provision is made a top priority. Adaptation approaches include more efficient irrigation and technological and behavioural changes

[Irrigation efficiency] ↑

[Water savings (technology)] ↑

[Water savings (behavioural)] ↑

[Water demand prioritisation] = “baseline”

4. Extensify agriculture: This strategy aims to reduce the impact of intensive farming on the environment by farming less intensively (which reduces yield) and putting more of a field into set-aside

[Change in yields] ↓

[Set-aside] ↑

5. Dietary change: Strategy based on “extensify agriculture” but with reduced pressure on food resulting from reduced dietary preferences for land-intensive red and white meat

As “extensify agriculture” plus:

[Change in diet (lamb/beef)] ↓

[Change in diet (chicken/pork)] ↓

6. Maximising timber: This strategy focuses on timber production by planting species that best match the future climate and reducing agricultural demand by increasing imports

[Food Imports] ↑

[Tree species] = “Optimum” (all regions)

7. Forests for nature: Strategy based on “maximise timber” with additional forestry protected to increase the amount of total forest

As “maximise timber” plus:

[Protected Area Change] ↑

[Protected Area that is Forest] = 100 %

[Method for Protected Area allocation] = “Buffering then connectivity”

8. “Go nature go!”: Target overall naturalness: forest, extensive grassland, unmanaged land. Expand protected areas (PA) to equally target these land uses; deliberately target new areas rather than buffering existing PA. Plant competitive tree species; import as much food as possible; increase food yields and change dietary preferences to minimise agricultural pressures

[Food Imports] ↑

[Protected Area Change] ↑

[PA Forest] and [PA Agriculture] = 33 %

[Method for PA allocation] = “Connectivity then buffering”

[Tree species] = “Optimum” (all regions)

[Food yields] ↑

[Change in diet (lamb/beef)] and [Change in diet (chicken/pork)] ↓

The strategies are created by modifying IAP slider settings to the maximum/minimum scenario-consistent settings as set out in the settings column above