Table 2.
Adaptation Strategies | Settings (↓ decrease to minimum ↑ increase to maximum) |
---|---|
1. Food self-sufficiency: Food imports are reduced to the minimum to encourage European food self-sufficiency | [Food Imports] ↓ |
2. Irrigation for food: This strategy is a combination of “food self-sufficiency” and “maximising water efficiency”. Water is prioritised for agricultural use |
[Food Imports] ↓ [Irrigation efficiency] ↑ [Water savings (technology)] ↑ [(behavioural)] ↑ [Water demand prioritisation] = “prioritise food production” |
3. Maximising water efficiency: Water provision is made a top priority. Adaptation approaches include more efficient irrigation and technological and behavioural changes |
[Irrigation efficiency] ↑ [Water savings (technology)] ↑ [Water savings (behavioural)] ↑ [Water demand prioritisation] = “baseline” |
4. Extensify agriculture: This strategy aims to reduce the impact of intensive farming on the environment by farming less intensively (which reduces yield) and putting more of a field into set-aside |
[Change in yields] ↓ [Set-aside] ↑ |
5. Dietary change: Strategy based on “extensify agriculture” but with reduced pressure on food resulting from reduced dietary preferences for land-intensive red and white meat |
As “extensify agriculture” plus: [Change in diet (lamb/beef)] ↓ [Change in diet (chicken/pork)] ↓ |
6. Maximising timber: This strategy focuses on timber production by planting species that best match the future climate and reducing agricultural demand by increasing imports |
[Food Imports] ↑ [Tree species] = “Optimum” (all regions) |
7. Forests for nature: Strategy based on “maximise timber” with additional forestry protected to increase the amount of total forest |
As “maximise timber” plus: [Protected Area Change] ↑ [Protected Area that is Forest] = 100 % [Method for Protected Area allocation] = “Buffering then connectivity” |
8. “Go nature go!”: Target overall naturalness: forest, extensive grassland, unmanaged land. Expand protected areas (PA) to equally target these land uses; deliberately target new areas rather than buffering existing PA. Plant competitive tree species; import as much food as possible; increase food yields and change dietary preferences to minimise agricultural pressures |
[Food Imports] ↑ [Protected Area Change] ↑ [PA Forest] and [PA Agriculture] = 33 % [Method for PA allocation] = “Connectivity then buffering” [Tree species] = “Optimum” (all regions) [Food yields] ↑ [Change in diet (lamb/beef)] and [Change in diet (chicken/pork)] ↓ |
The strategies are created by modifying IAP slider settings to the maximum/minimum scenario-consistent settings as set out in the settings column above