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. 2015 Jan 20;36(15):939–945. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehu514

Table 4.

Twenty-year risk of incident heart failure and death by alcohol consumption category, by sex

20-year risk HF (%) Number of drinks per week
Former drinkers Abstainers <7 ≥7–14 ≥14–21 ≥21
Men
HF (primary results)a 0.17 (0.14, 0.19) 0.14 (ref) 0.12 (0.10, 0.14) 0.13 (0.11, 0.16) 0.13 (0.10, 0.16) 0.14 (0.11, 0.18)
HF (competing riskb) 0.14 (0.12, 0.16) 0.13 (ref) 0.11 (0.09, 0.12) 0.12 (0.10, 0.15) 0.12 (0.09, 0.16) 0.12 (0.09, 0.15)
Death 0.29 (0.27, 0.32) 0.24 (ref) 0.23 (0.21, 0.26) 0.26 (0.23, 0.29) 0.23 (0.19, 0.27) 0.31 (0.27, 0.36)
Women
HF (primary results)a 0.12 (0.10, 0.14) 0.10 (ref) 0.09 (0.07, 0.10) 0.09 (0.07, 0.13) 0.12 (0.07, 0.20) 0.07 (0.03, 0.19)
HF (competing riskb) 0.11 (0.10, 0.13) 0.10 (ref) 0.08 (0.07, 0.10) 0.08 (0.06, 0.11) 0.11 (0.06, 0.17) 0.06 (0.02, 0.15)
Death 0.17 (0.16, 0.19) 0.15 (ref) 0.16 (0.14, 0.17) 0.17 (0.14, 0.20) 0.19 (0.13, 0.26) 0.26 (0.17, 0.38)

aCensoring patient follow-up at time of death.

bAccounting for the competing risk of non-HF death.