Table 2.
Model parameters and parameter values. Parameters marked * were inferred as described below.
Parameter | Definition | Unit | Prior | Posterior |
---|---|---|---|---|
q | Proportion of adult females laying eggs | − | 0.61 − 0.85 [65] | * |
n(Ta) | Number of eggs laid per female | − | −1.1057 Ta2 + 56.208 Ta – 662.1 [65] | |
ρ(Tw) | Proportion of eggs hatching | − | −0.0034 Tw2 + 0.1719 Tw – 1.248 [65] | |
μE | Per capita egg mortality rate | days−1 | 0.32 − 0.8 [10,70] | * |
μL | Per capita age-dependent larval mortality rate | days−1 | 1/αLβL | |
μLC | Per capita age-independent larval mortality rate | days−1 | 0.0013 Tw2 − 0.0704 Tw + 0.9581 | |
μP | Per capita pupal mortality rate | days−1 | 0.25 [11] | |
μA | Per capita age-dependent adult mortality rate | days−1 | 1/αAβA | |
μAC | Per capita age-independent adult mortality rate | days−1 | (5.37 × 10−5) e 0.228Ta | |
μK | Per capita density- (and rainfall-) dependent larval mortality rate | days−1 | [11] | |
μC | Constant | days−1 | 0–10,000 | * |
K | Carrying capacity | − | [11] | |
τ | Days of rainfall contributing to carrying capacity | days | <10 [11] | * |
αL | Shape parameter of larval gamma hazard function | − | ||
βL | Scale parameter of larval gamma hazard function | days | −0.0112 Tw2 + 6.0775 Tw – 6.709 | |
αA | Shape parameter of adult gamma hazard function | − | 3 | |
βA | Scale parameter of adult gamma hazard function | days | 171.26 e−0.1191Ta | |
σE | Per capita egg development rate | days−1 | 1/dE [68] | |
σL | Per capita larval development rate | days−1 | 1/dL [68] | |
σP | Per capita pupal development rate | days−1 | 1/dP [68] | |
σA | Per capita adult development rate | days−1 | 1/dA [68] | |
ΔT | Difference between environmental air and water temperature | °C | 2.9 − 7.6 [71] | * |