Table 2. Outcomes associated with obesity scenarios, from Wang et al.

Change in disease cases (incidence) and QALYs, 2010–2030, United Kingdom.

Disease	Scenario 1 –Assuming recent trends continue	Scenario 2 Assuming 1% reduction in BMI for every adult at baseline—needs average net reduction of 20kcal per person per day	Scenario 3 if obesity rates had remained at 1990 levels
Change in Diabetes cases	+545,000	-179,000	-897,000
Change in CHD and Stroke cases	+331,000	-122,000	-634,000
Change in Cancer cases	+87,000	-32,000	-177,000
QALYs gained or lost	-2,219,000	+3,011,000	+7,073,000