Table 2.
Univariate analysis of prognostic factors for patients with locally advanced rectal carcinoma
| Variable | OS | DFS | LRFS | DMFS | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | p value | 95 % CI | HR | p value | 95 % CI | HR | p value | 95 % CI | HR | p value | 95 % CI | |
| Pathological stage | ||||||||||||
| ypT0–2N0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| ypT3–4N0 | 2.076 | 0.074 | 0.933–4.622 | 1.031 | 0.925 | 0.547–1.942 | 1.279 | 0.508 | 0.617–2.651 | 1.519 | 0.317 | 0.670–3.444 |
| ypT0–4N+ | 3.688 | 0.001 | 1.702–7.911 | 2.255 | 0.007 | 1.246–4.081 | 2.816 | 0.003 | 1.429–5.546 | 3.429 | 0.002 | 1.602–7.339 |
| pT stage | ||||||||||||
| ypT3–4 vs. ypT0–2 | 3.131 | 0.001 | 1.578–6.212 | 1.675 | 0.049 | 1.001–2.801 | 1.970 | 0.025 | 1.090–3.561 | 2.615 | 0.005 | 1.328–5.150 |
| pN stage | ||||||||||||
| ypN+ vs. ypN0 | 2.595 | 0.002 | 1.414–4.760 | 2.252 | 0.004 | 1.333–3.804 | 2.519 | 0.002 | 1.411–4.498 | 2.889 | 0.001 | 1.540–5.420 |
| Sex | ||||||||||||
| Female vs. Male | 0.950 | 0.879 | 0.488–1.850 | 0.943 | 0.838 | 0.539–1.652 | 0.894 | 0.730 | 0.473–1.690 | 1.060 | 0.867 | 0.538–2.087 |
| Age, years | ||||||||||||
| >56 vs. ≤56 | 1.243 | 0.477 | 0.682–2.266 | 1.243 | 0.396 | 0.752–2.056 | 1.433 | 0.215 | 0.812–2.532 | 1.444 | 0.248 | 0.774–2.695 |
| Pretreatment CEA level, μg/L | ||||||||||||
| ≥5.0 vs. <5.0 | 0.868 | 0.648 | 0.474–1.592 | 0.941 | 0.816 | 0.566–1.565 | 1.145 | 0.640 | 0.650–2.018 | 1.282 | 0.434 | 0.689–2.385 |
| Pretreatment Hb level, g/L | ||||||||||||
| Anemia vs. normal | 1.092 | 0.815 | 0.521–2.289 | 1.047 | 0.888 | 0.554–1.976 | 1.225 | 0.558 | 0.622–2.412 | 1.020 | 0.960 | 0.469–2.220 |
| Distance btw anal verge and lower edge of tumor, cm | ||||||||||||
| ≤5.0 vs. >5.0 | 1.294 | 0.429 | 0.683–2.449 | 1.643 | 0.082 | 0.939–2.877 | 5.446 | 0.023 | 1.257–23.586 | 0.907 | 0.761 | 0.481–1.707 |
| Differentiation of tumor | ||||||||||||
| Well–vs. poorly differentiated | 1.315 | 0.126 | 0.926–1.869 | 1.198 | 0.246 | 0.883–1.624 | 1.124 | 0.519 | 0.788–1.601 | 1.198 | 0.345 | 0.823–1.744 |
| cT stage | ||||||||||||
| cT4 vs. cT1–3 | 1.837 | 0.074 | 0.943–3.577 | 1.856 | 0.030 | 1.060–3.249 | 1.735 | 0.083 | 0.931–3.233 | 1.648 | 0.148 | 0.838–3.241 |
| cN stage | ||||||||||||
| cN+ vs. cN0 | 1.291 | 0.444 | 0.671–2.484 | 1.107 | 0.712 | 0.646–1.897 | 1.150 | 0.654 | 0.624–2.121 | 1.473 | 0.278 | 0.732–2.966 |
| Post–op adjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||||||||
| Yes vs. None | 1.712 | 0.089 | 0.921–3.181 | 1.614 | 0.074 | 0.955–2.726 | 0.792 | 0.122 | 0.589–1.065 | 1.687 | 0.110 | 0.888–3.207 |