Table 2.
Overview of the tested models of prevalent chronic kidney disease (CKD) prediction and their performance for the original model and the intercept adjusted model, based on MDRD equation defined CKD
Characteristics | Korean risk score [10] | Thai risk score [9] | Bellville South | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Authors | Kwon et al. | Thakkinstian et al. | |||||||
Year published | 2011 | 2011 | |||||||
Country | South Korea | Thailand | |||||||
Validation | Internal, External | Internal | |||||||
Sample size | 6565 | 3459 | |||||||
Design | Cross-sectional | Cross-sectional | |||||||
Age range | ≥30 years | ≥18 years | |||||||
Population | Korean | Thai | |||||||
Definition of of CKD | eGFR (MDRD) ≤ 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 | stage I-V based on eGFR (MDRD) | |||||||
Development c-statistic | 0.83 | 0.77 | |||||||
Predictors | |||||||||
Age | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Sex | Yes | No | Yes | ||||||
Anemia | Yes | No | No | ||||||
Hypertension | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Diabetes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
History of CVD | Yes | No | No (statin use) | ||||||
Proteinuria | Yes | No | Yes | ||||||
Kidney stone | No | Yes | No | ||||||
Performance | Original | Adjusted | Original | Adjusted | |||||
Outcome | eGFR < 60 | Any CKD | eGFR < 60 | Any CKD | eGFR < 60 | Any CKD | eGFR < 60 | Any CKD | |
E/O (95 % CI) | 0.07 (0.07-0.08) | 0.07 (0.06-0.08) | 0.76 (0.67-0.86) | 0.76 (0.67-0.85) | 0.90 (0.79-1.01) | 0.87 (0.77-0.98) | 0.98 (0.87-1.10) | 0.97 (0.86-1.09) | |
Brier score | 0.265 | 0.274 | 0.164 | 0.161 | 0.166 | 0.166 | 0.165 | 0.164 | |
Yates slope | 0.026 | 0.029 | 0.208 | 0.225 | 0.191 | 0.199 | 0.200 | 0.211 | |
C-statistic (95 % CI) | 0.797 (0.765-0.829) | 0.811 (0.780-0.842) | 0.797 (0.765-0.829) | 0.811 (0.780-0.842) | 0.760 (0.726-0.793) | 0.772 (0.739-0.805) | 0.760 (0.726-0.793) | 0.772 (0.739-0.805) | |
Best threshold | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.32 | |
Sensitivity (%) | 82 | 84 | 82 | 84 | 73 | 74 | 73 | 74 | |
Specificity (%) | 67 | 68 | 67 | 68 | 72 | 73 | 72 | 73 |
CI: confidence interval, CKD; chronic kidney disease, CVD: cardiovascular disease, E/O: expected/observed