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. 2015 Jul 4;16:94. doi: 10.1186/s12882-015-0093-6

Table 2.

Overview of the tested models of prevalent chronic kidney disease (CKD) prediction and their performance for the original model and the intercept adjusted model, based on MDRD equation defined CKD

Characteristics Korean risk score [10] Thai risk score [9] Bellville South
Authors Kwon et al. Thakkinstian et al.
Year published 2011 2011
Country South Korea Thailand
Validation Internal, External Internal
Sample size 6565 3459
Design Cross-sectional Cross-sectional
Age range ≥30 years ≥18 years
Population Korean Thai
Definition of of CKD eGFR (MDRD) ≤ 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 stage I-V based on eGFR (MDRD)
Development c-statistic 0.83 0.77
Predictors
Age Yes Yes Yes
Sex Yes No Yes
Anemia Yes No No
Hypertension Yes Yes Yes
Diabetes Yes Yes Yes
History of CVD Yes No No (statin use)
Proteinuria Yes No Yes
Kidney stone No Yes No
Performance Original Adjusted Original Adjusted
Outcome eGFR < 60 Any CKD eGFR < 60 Any CKD eGFR < 60 Any CKD eGFR < 60 Any CKD
E/O (95 % CI) 0.07 (0.07-0.08) 0.07 (0.06-0.08) 0.76 (0.67-0.86) 0.76 (0.67-0.85) 0.90 (0.79-1.01) 0.87 (0.77-0.98) 0.98 (0.87-1.10) 0.97 (0.86-1.09)
Brier score 0.265 0.274 0.164 0.161 0.166 0.166 0.165 0.164
Yates slope 0.026 0.029 0.208 0.225 0.191 0.199 0.200 0.211
C-statistic (95 % CI) 0.797 (0.765-0.829) 0.811 (0.780-0.842) 0.797 (0.765-0.829) 0.811 (0.780-0.842) 0.760 (0.726-0.793) 0.772 (0.739-0.805) 0.760 (0.726-0.793) 0.772 (0.739-0.805)
Best threshold 0.03 0.02 0.30 0.31 0.27 0.27 0.31 0.32
Sensitivity (%) 82 84 82 84 73 74 73 74
Specificity (%) 67 68 67 68 72 73 72 73

CI: confidence interval, CKD; chronic kidney disease, CVD: cardiovascular disease, E/O: expected/observed