Table 3. Multivariable Cox regression analysis for biomarkers signature score improvements upon clinical parameters.
Predictors |
Test set (n=282, events=122) |
Internal validation 9999 bootstrap samples |
External validation (n=135, events=80) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95% CI) | P-value | HR (95% CI) | P-value | HR (95% CI) | P-value | |
Baseline model based on demographics and clinical parameters | ||||||
Age | 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) | 0.46 | 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) | 0.48 | 0.99 (0.97, 1.01) | 0.26 |
Gender | 1.15 (0.74, 1.77) | 0.53 | 1.14 (0.75, 1.83) | 0.54 | 1.21 (0.75, 1.96) | 0.43 |
Histopathological grade | 1.50 (1.11, 2.02) | 0.007 | 1.50 (1.12, 2.00) | 0.006 | 1.14 (0.76, 1.71) | 0.53 |
Nodal status | 2.56 (1.56, 4.21) | <0.001 | 2.61 (1.57, 4.71) | <0.001 | 4.99 (1.96, 12.7) | <0.001 |
Tumor stage | 1.47 (0.90, 2.41) | 0.13 | 1.50 (0.92, 2.62) | 0.15 | 2.97 (1.49, 5.91) | 0.002 |
Clinical stage | 0.77 (0.36, 1.66) | 0.51 | 0.77 (0.33, 1.90) | 0.56 | 0.23 (0.08, 0.70) | 0.009 |
Discriminatory value | c-statistics=0.62 | c-statistics=0.60a | c-statistics=0.61a | |||
Improved model using biomarker signature score | ||||||
Biomarker signature score | 1.10 (1.07, 1.13) | <0.001 | 1.10 (1.07, 1.13) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.02, 1.15) | 0.009 |
Age | 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) | 0.97 | 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) | 0.97 | 0.99 (0.97, 1.01) | 0.19 |
Gender | 1.12 (0.73, 1.74) | 0.60 | 1.11 (0.73, 1.75) | 0.60 | 1.29 (0.80, 2.09) | 0.29 |
Histopathological grade | 1.33 (0.98, 1.79) | 0.06 | 1.32 (1.00, 1.77) | 0.05 | 1.11 (0.74, 1.67) | 0.61 |
Nodal status | 2.29 (1.41, 3.71) | <0.001 | 2.37 (1.45, 4.29) | 0.03 | 4.77 (1.87, 12.2) | 0.001 |
Tumor stage | 1.52 (0.92, 2.50) | 0.10 | 1.54 (0.91, 2.72) | 0.14 | 3.05 (1.53, 6.06) | 0.001 |
Clinical stage | 0.79 (0.37, 1.68) | 0.53 | 0.76 (0.30, 1.91) | 0.61 | 0.27 (0.09, 0.80) | 0.02 |
Discriminatory value | c-statistics=0.71 | c-statistics=0.70a | c-statistics=0.64a |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.
Optimism-corrected index.