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. 2015 Jul 10;10(7):e0131184. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0131184

Table 3. Parameters to describe the dynamics of daily tweet volume of political parties as a geometric Brownian motion (GBM).

The expectation value V p(t) of daily tweet volume of party p at time t given by a GBM is V p(t) = V p(0)exp((μσ 2/2)t + σW(t)) where W(t) is a Wiener process or a Brownian motion.

Euro14: European Parliament election 2014, Italy
Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0) Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0)
1 PD 0.0124 0.0627 0.3171 18299.2 5 NCD-UdC 0.0059 0.0893 0.4088 2578.5
2 M5S 0.0469 0.0925 0.3018 6143.3 6 AET 0.0581 0.1513 0.4316 520.0
3 FI 0.0053 0.0955 0.4247 9714.3 7 FdI-AN 0.0404 0.4013 0.8496 238.5
4 LN 0.0592 0.2995 0.6932 686.2
Italy13: Italian general election 2013
Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0) Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0)
1 M5S 0.0328 0.0979 0.3608 3294.9 4 SC -0.0048 0.0490 0.3278 22856.7
2 PD 0.0181 0.0815 0.3561 9121.2 5 LN 0.0104 0.2264 0.6573 576.0
3 PdL 0.0039 0.1164 0.4744 16763.5 6 SEL 0.0127 0.1406 0.5057 2458.3
Bulgaria13: Bulgarian general election 2013
Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0) Rank Party μσ 2/2 μ σ V p(0)
1 GERB 0.0435 0.1591 0.4808 194.8 3 DPS 0.2110 0.2496 0.2782 7.6
2 BSP 0.0892 0.1904 0.4498 55.8 4 ATAKA 0.2248 0.4020 0.5954 2.4