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(a) A decision net for a case in which Alice's choice C is made after observing the value of the die roll event D. (b) A decision net for a case in which Alice's choice C is made without knowing the value of the die roll event D. (c) A Bayes net representation of the decision net in panel b. When the utility function changes, the Bayes net incorrectly predicts that Alice will continue to match the rolled color (see the shaded CPD for choice node C).
