Table 5.

Comparison of expected and observed outcomes at hospital discharge and 6 months after trauma

	Phase 1	Phase 2
Hospital (Outcome known) (n)	383	309
Expected Mortality (mean%)	34	34
Expected Deaths (n)	130	105
Observed deaths (n)	118	72
Observed mortality (mean%)	31	23
OE ratio	0,91	0,69
Unexpected survivors (n)	12	33
6 month total (Outcome known) (n)	229	286
Expected Unfavorable (mean%)	60,3	54
Expected Unfavorable (n)	138	154
Observed Unfavorable (n)	154	105
Observed Unfavorable (mean%)	67	37
OE ratio	1,12	0,68
Unexpected favorable (n)	-16	49

Legend: OE observed/expected; 6 month outcome was measured by GOSE (Glasgow Outcome Scale extended) and dichotomized into favorable (GOSE score 7–8) and unfavorable (GOSE score 1–6) outcomes, OE Observed versus Expected