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. 2015 Aug;105(8):e13–e15. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2015.302724

TABLE 1—

Health Economic Assessment Based on Time Spent Cycling and Mortality Rates of the Dutch Population Between 20 and 90 Years: 2010–2013

Input Data
Outcome HEAT Approach
Life-Table Calculation Results
Age Group, Years Average Weekly Minutes of Cycling per Person Population (x 1000) Average Annual Mortality Rate per 100 000 Population Mortality Rate Reduction, %a No. of Deaths Prevented per Yearb Annual Benefit of Current Dutch Cycling, Billon €c Increase in Average Life Expectancyd
20–29 73 2 058 31 7.3 47 0.1 0.01
30–39 69 2 087 53 6.9 77 0.2 0.02
40–49 69 2 573 135 6.9 241 0.7 0.03
50–59 79 2 320 390 7.9 715 2.0 0.08
60–64 89 1 071 757 8.9 719 2.0 0.07
65–69 94 872 1 232 9.4 1 009 2.8 0.09
70–74 88 652 1 963 8.8 1 127 3.2 0.10
75–79 73 507 3 422 7.3 1 274 3.6 0.09
80–84 36 369 6 328 3.6 842 2.4 0.05
85–90 24 216 11 663 2.4 606 1.7 0.03
Total or average 74 12 725 878 7.4 6 657 18.6 0.57

Note. HEAT = Health Economic Assessment Tool.

a

Based on an estimated mortality rate reduction of 10% per 100 min of cycling per week according to the meta-analysis.5,8 For instance, for the age group of 20–30 years: 73/100 = 7.3%.

b

The product of the mortality rate reduction, population, and mortality rate (per 100 000 population)/100 000.

c

The product of the number of deaths multiplied by the standard value of a statistical life year of €2.8 million.

d

Based on life-table calculations using IOMLIFET with Dutch mortality rates between 2010 and 2013.3