TABLE 1—
Input Data |
Outcome HEAT Approach |
Life-Table Calculation Results |
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Age Group, Years | Average Weekly Minutes of Cycling per Person | Population (x 1000) | Average Annual Mortality Rate per 100 000 Population | Mortality Rate Reduction, %a | No. of Deaths Prevented per Yearb | Annual Benefit of Current Dutch Cycling, Billon €c | Increase in Average Life Expectancyd |
20–29 | 73 | 2 058 | 31 | 7.3 | 47 | 0.1 | 0.01 |
30–39 | 69 | 2 087 | 53 | 6.9 | 77 | 0.2 | 0.02 |
40–49 | 69 | 2 573 | 135 | 6.9 | 241 | 0.7 | 0.03 |
50–59 | 79 | 2 320 | 390 | 7.9 | 715 | 2.0 | 0.08 |
60–64 | 89 | 1 071 | 757 | 8.9 | 719 | 2.0 | 0.07 |
65–69 | 94 | 872 | 1 232 | 9.4 | 1 009 | 2.8 | 0.09 |
70–74 | 88 | 652 | 1 963 | 8.8 | 1 127 | 3.2 | 0.10 |
75–79 | 73 | 507 | 3 422 | 7.3 | 1 274 | 3.6 | 0.09 |
80–84 | 36 | 369 | 6 328 | 3.6 | 842 | 2.4 | 0.05 |
85–90 | 24 | 216 | 11 663 | 2.4 | 606 | 1.7 | 0.03 |
Total or average | 74 | 12 725 | 878 | 7.4 | 6 657 | 18.6 | 0.57 |
Note. HEAT = Health Economic Assessment Tool.
Based on an estimated mortality rate reduction of 10% per 100 min of cycling per week according to the meta-analysis.5,8 For instance, for the age group of 20–30 years: 73/100 = 7.3%.
The product of the mortality rate reduction, population, and mortality rate (per 100 000 population)/100 000.
The product of the number of deaths multiplied by the standard value of a statistical life year of €2.8 million.
Based on life-table calculations using IOMLIFET with Dutch mortality rates between 2010 and 2013.3